赛马投注策略

IF 1.1 4区管理学 Q4 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE

Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research Pub Date : 1999-01-01 DOI:10.4225/03/5A13987DE61F0

R. M. Phatarford

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引用次数: 3

摘要

在本文中，我们考虑赌徒在赛马等情况下可能采用的策略。我们假设赌徒知道哪匹马的赔率对他有利，他希望以这样一种方式下注，即在一场比赛中有一个给定的积极的获胜期望，他希望把他有限的资本损失的可能性降到最低。我们表明，最好的策略是下注所有赔率有利的马，以尽量减少比赛中损失的可能性。我们进一步表明，为了实现最后一个目标，除了对赔率高的马下注外，还建议对赔率高的马下注，有时对赔率低的马下注。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Betting Strategies in Horse Races

In this paper we consider the strategies a gambler may employ in situations such as horse races. We assume that the gambler knows which horses have odds which are favourable to him, that he wants to bet in such a way as to have a given positive expectation of win on a race, and that he wishes to minimise the probability of loss of his finite capital. We show that the best strategy is to bet on all the horses whose odds are favourable so as to minimise the probability of loss on a race. We further show that in order to achieve the last objective it is advisable to have a bet on a horse with fair odds, and at times on a horse with unfavourable odds, in addition to a bet on a horse with favourable odds.

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来源期刊

Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学

CiteScore

2.00

自引率

14.30%

发文量

审稿时长

14.2 months

期刊介绍： The Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR) provides a forum for practitioners, academics and researchers in Operational Research and related fields, within and beyond the Asia-Pacific region. APJOR will place submissions in one of the following categories: General, Theoretical, OR Practice, Reviewer Survey, OR Education, and Communications (including short articles and letters). Theoretical papers should carry significant methodological developments. Emphasis is on originality, quality and importance, with particular emphasis given to the practical significance of the results. Practical papers, illustrating the application of Operation Research, are of special interest.