有限注意力下稳健的投资组合选择

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Yue Ma, Zhongfei Li
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引用次数: 1

摘要

研究了一个具有有限注意力的稳健投资组合选择问题。代理人可以在金融市场上获得无风险资产和股票。但是她并没有完全观察到股票的预期回报率,所以她必须在做决定之前估计这个关键参数。除了一般可观察到的财务信息外,智能体还可以获取新闻信号过程,其准确性取决于智能体的注意力。我们假设agent对信号的关注有限,并且不相信自己的估计模型。因此,本文也有必要考虑模型的模糊性。在最坏情况下,代理人使其终端财富的预期效用最大化。在此条件下,明确地推导出鲁棒最优策略。在注意和歧义厌恶存在的情况下,策略的短视项、对冲项和最坏情况都发生了变化。我们发现,关注越多,估计收益的方差越小。数值算例还表明,越细心的智能体对不可观测参数的估计越好,对自己的估计也越有信心。因此,最坏情况与参考模型的偏差较小,这意味着在最坏情况下的期望回报率更高,因此投资更多的股票。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Robust portfolio choice with limited attention
This paper investigates a robust portfolio selection problem with the agent's limited attention. The agent has access to a risk-free asset and a stock in a financial market. But she does not observe perfectly the expected return rate of the stock so she has to estimate this key parameter before making decisions. Besides the general observable financial information, the agent can also acquire a news signal process whose accuracy depends on the agent's attention. We assume that the agent pays limited attention on the signal and she does not trust her estimation model. So it is necessary to consider model ambiguity in this paper as well. The agent maximizes the expected utility of her terminal wealth under the worst-case scenario. Under this setting, we derive the robust optimal strategy explicitly. In the presence of the attention and ambiguity aversion, the myopic term of the strategy, the hedging term of the strategy and the worst-case scenario are all changed. We find that more attention makes the variance of the estimated return smaller. The numerical examples also show that a more attentive agent has a better estimation of the unobservable parameter and is more confident on her estimation. Consequently, the worst-case scenario deviates less from the reference model, which implies a higher expected return rate under the worst-case scenario, thus invests more in the stock.
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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