外国直接投资、金融发展和可持续经济增长之间的关系:来自苏丹的经验方面

IF 3.2 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Mustafa Hassan Mohammad Adam
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究审查了1980年代结构调整方案和银行和金融系统全面伊斯兰化期间苏丹的外国直接投资、金融发展和可持续经济增长之间的关系。该研究利用1990年至2020年的最新时间序列二手数据进行了全面分析,并采用协整、格兰杰因果关系和VAR误差校正技术来估计模型,以澄清FDI与其对金融部门的影响之间的关系,并随后参与苏丹的可持续经济发展。本研究采用增广Dickey-Fuller (ADF)单位根检验对数据进行平稳性检验,发现数据在一差处是平稳性的。ARDL边界的结果表明FDI与其他自变量之间存在长期关系,而短期关系则相反。格兰杰因果检验表明,FDI的过去值对经济可持续增长的预测没有显著的贡献。此外,研究结果表明,有证据表明,中国的贸易开放程度与金融业的发展存在因果关系。研究结果表明,在短期内,可持续经济增长与金融发展和贸易开放之间存在互补关系。有趣的是,研究结果表明,FDI的流入进一步增强了金融发展对经济增长的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nexus among foreign direct investment, financial development, and sustainable economic growth: Empirical aspects from Sudan
This study examined the nexus between foreign direct investment (FDI), financial development, and sustainable economic growth in Sudan during the period of the structural adjustment program and the full Islamization of the banking and financial system that took place in the 1980s. The research provides a comprehensive analysis using the most recent time series secondary data from 1990 to 2020 and the study employed co-integration, Granger causality, and VAR error correction technique to estimate the models, to clarify the claimed relationship between FDI and its effect on the financial sector and subsequently attending a sustainable economic development in Sudan. In this research, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root tests are applied to test the stationarity of data and the data was found stationary at first difference. The results of the ARDL bounds showed the existence of a long-term relationship between the FDI and other independent variables but the short-term showed otherwise. The Granger causality test implies that the past values of FDI don't significantly contribute to the prediction of sustainable economic growth. Also, results show that there's evidence of observed causality running from the country's trade openness and the financial sector's development. The implication of these results shows there is a complementary relationship between sustainable economic growth and both financial development and trade openness in the short run. Interestingly, the findings of the study show that the effect of financial development on economic growth is further enhanced by the inflows of FDI.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.30
自引率
1.90%
发文量
14
审稿时长
12 weeks
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