极端天气事件对农业经济绩效的影响——以塞尔维亚为例

IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRONOMY
S. Todorović, S. Ivanović, N. Bogdanov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于全球气候变化,西巴尔干地区,特别是塞尔维亚,面临着极端天气事件频率增加的问题。然而,关于如何在农场层面上衡量极端天气事件的影响,目前还没有足够的研究。更重要的是,没有标准的国际方法经常用于解决这个问题。因此,本研究的目的是评估极端天气事件对塞尔维亚两种最常见的农场类型的业务绩效的影响。为了实现这一目标,作者在农场层面进行了经济损失评估。面板模型和R软件环境用于执行多元回归分析,允许根据农场的生产类型指示财务损失指标的决定因素。结果表明,干旱对两种农业生产绩效的影响大于洪涝。回归分析表明,对于这两种农场类型,财务压力是最重要的自变量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The influence of extreme weather events on farm economic performance – a case study from Serbia
Western Balkan region, particularly Serbia, is faced with an increased frequency of extreme weather events, as a consequence of global climate change. However, there is still no enough research on how the effects of extreme weather events could be measured on the farm level. More importantly, there is no standard international methodology that is used regularly to address the issue. Therefore, the aim of this research was to evaluate the effects of extreme weather events on business performances of two the most common farm types in Serbia. To achieve this goal, the authors performed a financial loss assessment on a farm level. Panel models and R software environment were used to perform a multiple regression analysis allowing to indicate determinants of financial loss indicator depending on the farm’s production type. The results indicated that performance of both farm types is more influenced by drought than by floods. The regression analysis revealed that for both farm types financial stress is the most important independent variable.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
6
期刊介绍: Among the areas of specific interest of the journal there are: ecophysiology; phenology; plant growth, quality and quantity of production; plant pathology; entomology; welfare conditions of livestocks; soil physics and hydrology; micrometeorology; modeling, simulation and forecasting; remote sensing; territorial planning; geographical information systems and spatialization techniques; instrumentation to measure physical and biological quantities; data validation techniques, agroclimatology; agriculture scientific dissemination; support services for farmers.
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