应用Verhulst灰色模型(GM 1,1)预测生物多样性

IF 1 4区工程技术 Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS

Journal of Grey System Pub Date : 2011-06-01 DOI:10.30016/JGS.201106.0005

Yu-lung Hsieh, K. Linsenmair

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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文应用Verhulst灰色模型对德国维尔茨堡大学森林的蜘蛛多样性动态进行了预测。本文采用移动预测法对Margalef物种丰富度、Fisher Alpha指数、Simpson指数和均匀度进行了预测。其中，Fisher Alpha指数在时间动态上呈现逐年下降的趋势。应用该模型进行预测有助于降低研究生物多样性格局的成本，并为改进森林管理政策提供重要的基线参考。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Biodiversity Prediction by Applying Verhulst Grey Model (GM 1,1)

In this paper the Verhulst Grey Model is applied to predict spider diversity dynamics in the Wurzburg University Forest, Germany. Here, we use a moving forecasting to predict the following biodiversity values: Margalef Species Richness, Fisher Alpha Index, Simpson Index and Evenness. Among these, the Fisher Alpha Index revealed a decreasing trend in the temporal dynamic across years. Our application of the model for prediction can help lower the cost of studying biodiversity patterns and provide a crucial baseline reference for improving forest management policy.

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来源期刊

Journal of Grey System 数学-数学跨学科应用

CiteScore

2.40

自引率

43.80%

发文量

审稿时长

1.5 months

期刊介绍： The journal is a forum of the highest professional quality for both scientists and practitioners to exchange ideas and publish new discoveries on a vast array of topics and issues in grey system. It aims to bring forth anything from either innovative to known theories or practical applications in grey system. It provides everyone opportunities to present, criticize, and discuss their findings and ideas with others. A number of areas of particular interest (but not limited) are listed as follows: Grey mathematics- Generator of Grey Sequences- Grey Incidence Analysis Models- Grey Clustering Evaluation Models- Grey Prediction Models- Grey Decision Making Models- Grey Programming Models- Grey Input and Output Models- Grey Control- Grey Game- Practical Applications.