跨贝加尔湖地区勒拿河流域径流及其与大气降水的关系

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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文的目的是评价勒拿河流域河流径流在跨贝加尔湖地区的多年变化及其与作为水流形成主导因素的大气降水的相关性。考虑到过去几十年的极端气候变化,以及在当代条件下制定区域可持续社会/经济发展战略的必要性,研究河流的水况和确定其含水量循环尤为重要。然而,对跨贝加尔湖克雷格边界内的勒拿河流域水文特征的研究还不够充分。方法。该分析是根据1976年至2018年期间的月平均用水量数据进行的。为了分析当前的气候条件,我们使用了6个气象站的气温和大气降水观测数据。利用Pearson相关分析,揭示了研究岗哨径流与其年动态的相关性,并计算了径流与大气降水的关系。通过对最小二乘法计算的线性趋势进行计算和分析,并绘制微分积分曲线,揭示了多年来水流的变化趋势。结果。80%以上的河流径流量形成于春夏期,冬季(12月- 3月)径流量平均不到年径流量的2%。在研究的大河(查拉河、奥勒克玛河)中,年平均水量从3.20立方米/秒到54.5立方米/秒不等,而小河(卡伦加河、布加里赫塔河、宽达河)的年平均水量从10.2立方米/秒到47.3立方米/秒不等。春季(4 - 6月)和夏季(7 - 9月)水文季节的径流量一致性最大,这是由于全年大气降水的分布,两者具有显著的相关性。在研究期间,所研究河流的整个周期没有被追踪,这很可能表明它相对于跨贝加尔湖的其他河流的持续时间更长。目前,我们观测到的是水文循环的高潮期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Runoff of the Lena Basin Rivers in the Trans-Baikal Territory and its Relationship with Atmospheric Precipitation
The objective of the article is assessment of many-year changes of the Lena River basin rivers’ runoff on the territory of Trans-Baikal Kray and its correlation with atmospheric precipitation as a leading factor of the water flow formation. Studying of the rivers’ water regime and determination of their water content cycles is especially relevant in view of extreme climate changes over the past decades and the necessity to elaborate a strategy of sustainable social/economic development of regions in contemporary conditions. However, the Lena River basin hydrological characteristics within the boundaries of Trans-Baikal Kray have been studied insufficiently. Methods. The analysis was carried out according to the data on the average monthly water consumption over the period from 1976 to 2018. To analyze the current climatic conditions we have used air temperature and atmospheric precipitation observation data from six meteorological stations. When used Pearson correlation analysis we have revealed correlation between the runoff at the posts under study and its within-year dynamics, as well as have calculated the connection with atmospheric precipitation. We have revealed many-year tendencies of the water flow by calculation and analysis of linear trends computed by the least-squares method and by plotting differential integral curves. Results. More than 80 % of river runoff is formed during the spring-summer period, at that the total winter (December-March) runoff on the average is less than 2 % of the annual runoff. In the studied sections of large rivers (Chara, Olekma), the average annual water discharge varies from 3.20 to 54.5 m3/s, small (Karenga, Bugarikhta, Kuanda) – from 10.2 m3/s up to 47.3 m3/s. The greatest consistency of water discharges is noted for the spring (April-June) and summer (July-September) hydrological seasons, since it is due to the distribution of atmospheric precipitation during the year, with which their significant correlation was revealed. During the study period, the full cycle in the sections of the studied rivers was not traced, which most likely indicates its longer duration relative to other rivers of the Trans-Baikal Kray. At present, we observe the high-water phase of the hydrological cycle.
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