超级月亮期间北雅加达海岸的海岸淹没模拟和制图

IF 0.8 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
N. Riama, R. F. Sari, W. Sulistya, H. Rahmayanti, Khafid Rizki Pratama, B. E. Pratama, Arief Wibowo Suryo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

沿海地区很容易受到灾害的影响。包括雅加达海岸在内的沿海地区需要严重关注的灾害之一是沿海洪水。然而,该地区尚未建立综合的沿海洪水预报系统。本研究旨在结合水动力模型、波浪模型和河流模型,建立沿海淹没模型。本研究使用的模型是Delft3D模型、WaveWatch III-SWAN模型和SOBEK模型的集成。结果表明,2017年11月30日~ 12月8日超级月亮期间的水位模拟与观测数据基本一致,相关精度为0.9,RMSE为5.9 cm。模拟结果与天文潮汐预报的相关系数为0.81,均方根误差为13.6 cm。由此可见,该模型比天文潮汐预测效果更好。水动力模型表明,超级月亮期间雅加达湾的水位在0.66 ~ 0.68 m之间。洪水淹没区地图显示,雅加达北部丹戎不ok和玛伦达的最大淹没水位为50 ~ 100 cm,淹没面积分别为272.17312和456.03653 m2。Ancol和Kalibaru的淹没水位为0 ~ 30 cm,淹没面积分别为388.04358和169.17656 m2。我们的模型提供了更好的准确性,因为它考虑了几个重要的变量来模拟沿海淹没。事实证明,我们的预警系统在为雅加达北部地区提供沿海洪水预报信息方面是准确的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Coastal inundation modeling and mapping for North Jakarta coast during a supermoon period
Coastal areas are very vulnerable to disasters. One of the disasters that needs serious attention in coastal areas, including the coast of Jakarta, is coastal inundation. However, there is no integrated coastal inundation prediction system implemented in this area. This study aimed to build a model of coastal inundation by combining various factors, namely hydrodynamic model, wave model, and river model. The model used in this research is the integration of the Delft3D model, the WaveWatch III-SWAN model, and the SOBEK model. The results show that the simulation of the water level was in accordance with the observed data, from 30 November to 8 December 2017 during the supermoon period with a correlation accuracy of 0.9 and RMSE of 5.9 cm. However, the results of the simulation and astronomical tide prediction have a correlation of 0.81 and an RMSE is 13.6 cm. Therefore, it can be seen that the model is better than the astronomical tide prediction. The hydrodynamic model shows that Jakarta Bay has a water level range of 0.66 to 0.68 m during the supermoon period. The mapping of flood inundation areas show that the water level in the Tanjung Priok and Marunda in North Jakarta has a maximum inundation level of 50 to 100 cm with an inundation area of 272.17312 and 456.03653 m 2 . Meanwhile, our analysis for the Ancol and Kalibaru shows an inundation level of 0 to 30 cm with an inundation area of 388.04358 and 169.17656 m 2 . Our model provides better accuracy because it takes into account several important variables for modeling coastal inundation. Our early warning system proved to be accurate in providing coastal inundation prediction information for the North Jakarta area.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
29
审稿时长
4.5 months
期刊介绍: The major publication of the Chinese Geoscience Union (located in Taipei) since 1990, the journal of Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (TAO) publishes bi-monthly scientific research articles, notes, correspondences and reviews in all disciplines of the Earth sciences. It is the amalgamation of the following journals: Papers in Meteorological Research (published by the Meteorological Society of the ROC) since Vol. 12, No. 2 Bulletin of Geophysics (published by the Institute of Geophysics, National Central University) since No. 27 Acta Oceanographica Taiwanica (published by the Institute of Oceanography, National Taiwan University) since Vol. 42.
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