克罗地亚第三纪过程

IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS
Krešimir Peračković, Ivo Turk, Luka Šikić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了克罗地亚1971-2011年期间经济部门的结构变化,特别是专业化进程。它从服务业增长的经典经济理论和人口统计学方法出发,利用从人口普查中收集的数据,分析该部门结构的长期变化和趋势。三级化过程通常被定义为服务业就业在总就业中所占份额的增加,我们认为这是一个连续的长期过程,它受到不同时期不同因素的影响,主要是过去加速了去工业化进程的因素。我们的研究结果证实了结构性变化在整个时期有利于服务业的增长,而不仅仅是在过去的三个转型十年中,伴随着农业和工业部门份额的同时减少。主要的限制是,这些结果只是基于人口统计的基本但必要的第一步,它揭示了对进一步分析有用的一些基本见解。本文的科学评估是用跨学科的方法来解释20世纪70年代以来克罗地亚三级化进程的不同影响和具体特征。此外,本文的贡献是同时收集和展示了一组来自多个来源的新数据,这些数据可以作为进一步研究的基础。结果还考虑了这样一个问题,即这一过程是否伴随着富裕和较发达国家所观察到的经济增长和发展,或者这种向后工业劳动分工的服务型社会的转变并没有伴随着预期的现代化和发展效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Proces tercijarizacije u Hrvatskoj
This paper analyses a structural change by economic sectors in general and tertiarization process in particular, for the period 1971-2011 in Croatia. It started from the classical economic theory of service sector growth and demographic approach by using the data collected from the population censuses, to analyse long term changes and trends in the sector's structure. The process of tertiarization is usually defined as an increase in the share of service sector employment in total employment and we assume as a continuous long term process, it is influenced by different factors in different periods, and mostly the ones that have accelerated the process of deindustrialization as well in the past. Our results confirm a structural change that favours service sector growth during the whole period, not only in last three transition decades, along with the simultaneous reduction in agricultural and industrial sector shares. The main limitation is fact that those results are just a fundamental but necessary first step based on demographic statistics which reveal some elementary insights useful for further analyses. Scientific assessment of this article is in interdisciplinary approach of explanation of different impacts and specific features of tertiarization process in Croatia since 1970s. Also, the contribution of this paper is at the same time the collection and presentation of a new set of data combined in one article from several sources, which can be the basis for some further research. The results also consider the question if this process was accompanied by the economic growth and development observed in the rich and more developed countries or this shift towards service society with postindustrial division of labour does not come along with expected modernisation and developmental effects.
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来源期刊
Ekonomski Pregled
Ekonomski Pregled ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
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