中亚水电开发的瓶颈:开发银行援助协调的失败

IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES

Hydrological Research Letters Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.3178/hrl.14.29

Hiroyuki Deguchi, Daisuke Sasaki, M. Nakayama

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引用次数: 0

摘要

中亚国家拥有丰富但分布不均的自然资源，包括水资源。亚洲开发银行启动的中亚电力系统(CAPS)项目和世界银行启动的中亚-南亚电力传输和贸易项目(CASA-1000)计划促进该地区的电力贸易。然而，塔吉克斯坦现有的水电发电能力总体上只能满足一个项目的预期电力需求。CAPS项目(将于2023年完工)可能会垄断塔吉克斯坦的剩余电力，CASA-1000项目(将于2023年完工)可能会出现电力短缺。它源于亚洲开发银行和世界银行之间援助协调的失败。本研究揭示了(a) cap与CASA-1000项目的假设有何不同，以及(b)援助协调失败的可能原因。结果表明:(a)负责项目开发的开发银行官员几乎没有动力将其项目提交给援助协调;(b)在援助协调中只讨论和商定了两个项目之间的“地理划分”;(c)在援助协调中没有讨论这些项目的技术细节。

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Bottlenecks of hydropower development in Central Asia: Failure of aid coordination by development banks

: The Central Asian countries have abundant but unevenly distributed natural resources including water. The Central Asia Power System (CAPS) project initiated by the Asian Development Bank and the Central Asia-South Asia Elec‐ tricity Transmission and Trade Project (CASA-1000) initi‐ ated by the World Bank are planned to catalyze trade of electricity in this region. However, the existing surplus of the hydropower generation capacity of Tajikistan in sum‐ mer may only meet the anticipated power demand by one project. The CAPS project (to be completed in 2023) may monopolize the surplus in Tajikistan and the CASA-1000 project (to be completed later) may suffer from the shortage of electricity. It stems from the failure of aid coordination between the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank. This study reveals (a) how the assumptions made for the CAPS and CASA-1000 projects differ, and (b) possible causes of the failed aid coordination. It turned out that (a) the officer in a development bank who is in charge of project development has little motivation to submit his or her project to aid coordination, (b) only “geographic demarcation” between two projects was discussed and agreed upon in the aid coordination, and (c) no technical detail of these projects was discussed in the aid coordina‐ tion.

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来源期刊

Hydrological Research Letters WATER RESOURCES-

CiteScore

1.90

自引率

18.20%

发文量

审稿时长

10 weeks

期刊介绍： Hydrological Research Letters (HRL) is an international and trans-disciplinary electronic online journal published jointly by Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources (JSHWR), Japanese Association of Groundwater Hydrology (JAGH), Japanese Association of Hydrological Sciences (JAHS), and Japanese Society of Physical Hydrology (JSPH), aiming at rapid exchange and outgoing of information in these fields. The purpose is to disseminate original research findings and develop debates on a wide range of investigations on hydrology and water resources to researchers, students and the public. It also publishes reviews of various fields on hydrology and water resources and other information of interest to scientists to encourage communication and utilization of the published results. The editors welcome contributions from authors throughout the world. The decision on acceptance of a submitted manuscript is made by the journal editors on the basis of suitability of subject matter to the scope of the journal, originality of the contribution, potential impacts on societies and scientific merit. Manuscripts submitted to HRL may cover all aspects of hydrology and water resources, including research on physical and biological sciences, engineering, and social and political sciences from the aspects of hydrology and water resources.