瑞典生育、结婚和离婚趋势:截至2012年的最新数据

G. Andersson, Martin Kolk
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引用次数: 23

摘要

我们在2011年《芬兰人口研究年鉴》中介绍了瑞典重要家庭人口行为的主要趋势和特定的趋势。根据瑞典的登记数据,以前按日历年的生育、结婚和离婚的相对风险时间序列更新为另外五年的观察。我们证明,在2011年,十多年来不断上升的生育率变成了温和的生育率下降。这种趋势逆转适用于所有主要的出生顺序。母亲的结婚倾向继续增加,而没有孩子的人则停滞不前。自世纪之交以来,离婚风险的趋势似乎趋于平稳,这总体上反映了婚姻在近期瑞典家庭动态中更为普遍的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trends in Childbearing, Marriage and Divorce in Sweden: An Update with Data up to 2012
We present an update of the main and parity-specific trends in vital family-demographic behavior in Sweden presented in Finnish Yearbook of Population Research 2011. Based on Swedish register data, previous time series of relative risks of childbearing, marriage, and divorce by calendar year are updated with another five years of observation. We demonstrate that more than a decade of increasing fertility levels turned into moderate fertility declines in 2011. This trend reversal pertains to all main birth orders. Marriage propensities continued to increase for mothers but stagnated for the childless. Since the turn of the century, trends in divorce risks seem to have leveled off, altogether reflecting a more prevalent role of marriage in recent Swedish family dynamics.
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