{"title":"经济人口模拟模型:对其对政策分析的有用性的审查。","authors":"W. Sanderson","doi":"10.2307/1972943","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"\"This paper assesses the usefulness of economic-demographic simulation models for policy analysis, emphasizing in particular the relevance of the current state of the art for agricultural development planners. A critical review of eight models defines the range of questions that can be answered with particular models, evaluating the reasonableness of their specifications and the probable quality of their performance. Suggestions concerning further research are also provided.\"","PeriodicalId":84878,"journal":{"name":"IIASA reports","volume":"62 1","pages":"433-542"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1980-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.2307/1972943","citationCount":"47","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Economic-demographic simulation models: a review of their usefulness for policy analysis.\",\"authors\":\"W. Sanderson\",\"doi\":\"10.2307/1972943\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"\\\"This paper assesses the usefulness of economic-demographic simulation models for policy analysis, emphasizing in particular the relevance of the current state of the art for agricultural development planners. A critical review of eight models defines the range of questions that can be answered with particular models, evaluating the reasonableness of their specifications and the probable quality of their performance. Suggestions concerning further research are also provided.\\\"\",\"PeriodicalId\":84878,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IIASA reports\",\"volume\":\"62 1\",\"pages\":\"433-542\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1980-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.2307/1972943\",\"citationCount\":\"47\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IIASA reports\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2307/1972943\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IIASA reports","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2307/1972943","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Economic-demographic simulation models: a review of their usefulness for policy analysis.
"This paper assesses the usefulness of economic-demographic simulation models for policy analysis, emphasizing in particular the relevance of the current state of the art for agricultural development planners. A critical review of eight models defines the range of questions that can be answered with particular models, evaluating the reasonableness of their specifications and the probable quality of their performance. Suggestions concerning further research are also provided."
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