{"title":"离散时间SIR流行病模型的全局稳定性和分岔分析","authors":"Ö. Gümüs, Qianqian Cui, G. Selvam, Abraham Vianny","doi":"10.18514/mmn.2022.3417","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":". In this paper, we study the complex dynamical behaviors of a discrete-time SIR epidemic model. Analysis of the model demonstrates that the Diseases Free Equilibrium (DFE) point is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than one while the Endemic Equilibrium (EE) point is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is greater than one. The results are further substantiated visually with numerical simulations. Furthermore, numerical results demonstrate that the discrete model has more complex dynamical behaviors including multiple periodic orbits, quasi-periodic orbits and chaotic behaviors. The maximum Lyapunov exponent and chaotic attractors also confirm the chaotic dynamical behaviors of the model.","PeriodicalId":49806,"journal":{"name":"Miskolc Mathematical Notes","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Global stability and bifurcation analysis of a discrete time SIR epidemic model\",\"authors\":\"Ö. Gümüs, Qianqian Cui, G. Selvam, Abraham Vianny\",\"doi\":\"10.18514/mmn.2022.3417\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\". In this paper, we study the complex dynamical behaviors of a discrete-time SIR epidemic model. Analysis of the model demonstrates that the Diseases Free Equilibrium (DFE) point is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than one while the Endemic Equilibrium (EE) point is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is greater than one. The results are further substantiated visually with numerical simulations. Furthermore, numerical results demonstrate that the discrete model has more complex dynamical behaviors including multiple periodic orbits, quasi-periodic orbits and chaotic behaviors. The maximum Lyapunov exponent and chaotic attractors also confirm the chaotic dynamical behaviors of the model.\",\"PeriodicalId\":49806,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Miskolc Mathematical Notes\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Miskolc Mathematical Notes\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.18514/mmn.2022.3417\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Miskolc Mathematical Notes","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18514/mmn.2022.3417","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
Global stability and bifurcation analysis of a discrete time SIR epidemic model
. In this paper, we study the complex dynamical behaviors of a discrete-time SIR epidemic model. Analysis of the model demonstrates that the Diseases Free Equilibrium (DFE) point is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than one while the Endemic Equilibrium (EE) point is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is greater than one. The results are further substantiated visually with numerical simulations. Furthermore, numerical results demonstrate that the discrete model has more complex dynamical behaviors including multiple periodic orbits, quasi-periodic orbits and chaotic behaviors. The maximum Lyapunov exponent and chaotic attractors also confirm the chaotic dynamical behaviors of the model.
期刊介绍:
Miskolc Mathematical Notes, HU ISSN 1787-2405 (printed version), HU ISSN 1787-2413 (electronic version), is a peer-reviewed international mathematical journal aiming at the dissemination of results in many fields of pure and applied mathematics.