De Finetti和Savage关于不精确推理的规范相关性:对Arthmar和Brady的回答

Q2 Arts and Humanities

History of Economic Ideas Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI:10.19272/201706101009

A. Feduzi, Jochen Runde, C. Zappia

{"title":"De Finetti和Savage关于不精确推理的规范相关性:对Arthmar和Brady的回答","authors":"A. Feduzi, Jochen Runde, C. Zappia","doi":"10.19272/201706101009","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines the claim that de Finetti and Savage completely rejected the notion of indeterminate, as distinct from imprecise, probabilities. It argues that their examination of imprecise reasoning refers both to descriptive and normative issues, and that the inability for a decisionmaker to commit to a single prior cannot be limited to measurement problems, as argued by Arthmar and Brady in a recent contribution to this Journal. The paper shows that de Finetti and Savage admitted that having an interval of initial probabilities may sometimes have normative relevance, thereby leaving an opening for indeterminate probabilities.","PeriodicalId":38602,"journal":{"name":"History of Economic Ideas","volume":"25 1","pages":"211-223"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"De Finetti and Savage on the normative relevance of imprecise reasoning: a reply to Arthmar and Brady\",\"authors\":\"A. Feduzi, Jochen Runde, C. Zappia\",\"doi\":\"10.19272/201706101009\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper examines the claim that de Finetti and Savage completely rejected the notion of indeterminate, as distinct from imprecise, probabilities. It argues that their examination of imprecise reasoning refers both to descriptive and normative issues, and that the inability for a decisionmaker to commit to a single prior cannot be limited to measurement problems, as argued by Arthmar and Brady in a recent contribution to this Journal. The paper shows that de Finetti and Savage admitted that having an interval of initial probabilities may sometimes have normative relevance, thereby leaving an opening for indeterminate probabilities.\",\"PeriodicalId\":38602,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"History of Economic Ideas\",\"volume\":\"25 1\",\"pages\":\"211-223\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"History of Economic Ideas\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.19272/201706101009\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"Arts and Humanities\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"History of Economic Ideas","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.19272/201706101009","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"Arts and Humanities","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

摘要

本文考察了de Finetti和Savage完全拒绝不确定(与不精确)概率概念的说法。它认为，他们对不精确推理的研究既涉及描述性问题，也涉及规范性问题，正如阿尔玛和布雷迪在本刊最近发表的一篇文章中所指出的那样，决策者无法承诺单一先验，不能局限于测量问题。本文表明，de Finetti和Savage承认，具有初始概率的区间有时可能具有规范性相关性，从而为不确定概率留下了余地。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

De Finetti and Savage on the normative relevance of imprecise reasoning: a reply to Arthmar and Brady

This paper examines the claim that de Finetti and Savage completely rejected the notion of indeterminate, as distinct from imprecise, probabilities. It argues that their examination of imprecise reasoning refers both to descriptive and normative issues, and that the inability for a decisionmaker to commit to a single prior cannot be limited to measurement problems, as argued by Arthmar and Brady in a recent contribution to this Journal. The paper shows that de Finetti and Savage admitted that having an interval of initial probabilities may sometimes have normative relevance, thereby leaving an opening for indeterminate probabilities.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

History of Economic Ideas Arts and Humanities-History

CiteScore

0.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： History of Economic Ideas is a new international series of Quaderni di storia dell''economia politica, a journal founded in 1983 to promote collaboration between scholars who share an historical approach to the major issues, the various "revolutions" which have left their mark on economics and the spread of economic ideas beyond the narrow circle of specialists. History of Economic Ideas rejects the dichotomy between "analysis" and "culture": both aspects are of equal importance for a wider understanding of the subject. In a period such as our own, where paradigms which once seemed unshakeable are now being challenged, a multidisciplinary analysis of the historical development of economics might contribute to shedding light on the issues at the root of current debate. Besides essays and critical surveys, the journal includes archive material and reviews of new books on history of economics. History of Economic Ideas is double-blind peer reviewed.