贴现未来:约翰·罗尔斯和德里克·帕菲特对贴现率的批评

IF 0.1 4区 哲学 Q4 ETHICS
L. Liedekerke
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引用次数: 166

摘要

本文主要讨论约翰·罗尔斯(John Rawls)和德里克·帕菲特(Derek Parfit)对经济学中使用贴现率的批评。在介绍使用贴现率的基本经济学基础时,强调了人们对时间的偏好的固有问题性质。第二部分讨论了贴现率在经济最优增长模型中的作用。本文概述了最优增长的经济理论,指出罗尔斯对代际正义的分析如何很好地融入了这一经济讨论,从而解释了他对贴现率的兴趣。对罗尔斯来说,贴现率的基本问题是一个变量被夹在两个目标之间:保证一个有效的同时又是一个公平的解决方案。最后考察了Derek Parfit对贴现率使用的分析。帕菲特指出,贴现率经常被当作一种粗糙的经验法则,它错误地代表了我们贴现的原因。文章最后讨论了一些受人尊敬的经济学家为IPCC(国际气候变化专门委员会)进行的一项研究,该研究展示了帕菲特警告我们不要犯的所有错误。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Discounting the future: John Rawls and Derek Parfit's critique of the discount rate
This article concentrates on the critique by John Rawls and Derek Parfit of the use of a discount rate in economics. In a presentation of the basic economics underlying the use of a discount rate, the inherently problematic nature of people’s preferences with respect to time are highlighted. The second part discusses the role of the discount rate in economic optimal growth models. An outline of the economic theory of optimal growth is provided, pointing out how Rawls’s analysis of justice between generations fits nicely into this economic discussion, thus explaining his interest in the discount rate. For Rawls the basic problem with the discount rate is that one variable is caught between two objectives: guaranteeing an efficient and at the same time a fair solution. Finally Derek Parfit’s analysis of the use of discount rates is examined. Parfit points out that a discount rate is often used as a crude rule of thumb which wrongly represents our reasons for discounting. The article concludes with a discussion of a study undertaken by a number of respected economists for the IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) which exhibits all the mistakes that Parfit warns us against.
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