2019冠状病毒病大流行期间欧盟一体化的选择

Q1 Arts and Humanities
M. Entin, E. Entina, V. Voynikov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎大流行是欧盟系统性危机加剧的催化剂,同时也推动了欧盟朝着有利于深化一体化的质的新发展,体现在欧盟金融和经济空间的变化上。意识到其内部不稳定的风险,欧盟核心国家决定牺牲其经济成功的盈余,通过债务社会化来拯救受影响最大的外围成员国,以保护一体化联盟和欧洲理念本身。本文的目的是解释作出这一决定的困难及其妥协性质,并澄清可能的后果,并为局势的进一步发展提出建议。本文首先比较了债务社会化的利弊。然后将西班牙提案、法德倡议和冯德莱恩提出的“下一代欧盟”谈判平台与欧盟理事会妥协决定的基本点进行比较。它还回答了有关所提供财政援助的数量、条件、机制和支出控制的问题。分析了会员国为寻求最佳解决办法所采取的突破性步骤。研究结果是一个平衡的结论,即欧盟通过的决定的模糊性,但具有历史意义,并为进一步深化一体化进程开辟了前景。通过达成协议,需要通过债务社会化使欧盟的核心更接近边缘,以及结构改革的重要性,以确保构建基于新技术平台的未来和谐经济,并在称为下一代欧盟的突破性计划中制定,从而促进了这一点。不能保证成功,因为它取决于所有会员国的行为,但它是真实的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The EU Choice towards Integration in the Midst of COVID-19 Pandemics
The Covid-19 pandemic was a catalyst for the growing systemic crisis of the EU and at the same time gave the Union an impetus towards its qualitatively new development in favor of deeper integration, expressed in a change in the financial and economic space of the EU. Realizing the risks of their internal destabilization, the EU core countries decided to sacrifice the surplus from their economic successes through the socialization of debts in order to save the most affected peripheral Member States to preserve both the integration union and the European idea itself. The purpose of this article is to explain the difficulty of making this decision and its compromise nature, as well as to clarify the likely consequences and suggest options for the further development of the situation. The authors first compare the pros and cons of debt socialization. Then the variables are compared: the Spanish proposal, the Franco-German initiative and the negotiating platform on the "next generation EU" by Ursula von der Leyen with the fundamental points of the European Council compromise decision. It also provides answers to questions about the volume, conditions, mechanism, and control over the expenditure of the financial assistance provided. The breakthrough steps taken by the Member States towards finding an optimal solution are analyzed. The result of the study is a balanced conclusion about the ambiguous nature of the decision adopted by the EU but having a historical significance and opening prospects for the further deepening of integration processes. This is facilitated by reaching an agreement on the need to bring the core of the EU closer to the periphery through the socialization of debts, as well as the importance of structural reforms that would ensure the construction of a harmonious economy of the future based on a new technological platform and formulated in a breakthrough plan called the next generation EU. Success is not guaranteed, as it depends on the behavior of all Member States, but it is real.
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来源期刊
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy
Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
审稿时长
34 weeks
期刊介绍: “International Trends” (“Mezhdunarodnye protsessy”) was established in 2002 as the first Russian TIR journal. As of the early 2010s, it holds a strong position among the top three Russian thematic academic journals (according to the Russian Science Citation Index). The Journal’s key mission is a theoretical comprehension of the world as a whole, of international tendencies and the planetary political environment, and of the world-integrity our country finds herself in and develops with.
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