罗马尼亚资产收益的决定因素:主成分分析

Vǎtavu Sorana
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引用次数: 9

摘要

摘要本文考察了资本结构的影响,以及其对在布加勒斯特证券交易所上市的罗马尼亚公司财务绩效的决定因素。本文采用横断面回归和因子分析相结合的方法进行分析,时间跨度为10年(2003-2012)。资产收益率(ROA)是绩效指标,而资本结构指标是负债率。回归结果表明,罗马尼亚公司在借款有限的情况下经营的回报率较高。在资本结构的决定因素中,有形资产和经营风险对资产回报率有负面影响,但税收水平有积极影响,这表明公司在较高的财政压力下更有效地管理其资产。业绩由营业额维持,但不受高水平流动性的显著影响。经济状况不稳定的时期,反映在高通货膨胀率和当前的金融危机,对公司业绩产生强烈的负面影响。根据回归结果,通过主成分迭代法考虑了三个因素:第一个因素包含债务和规模,作为消费的指标;第二个因素包含有形和流动性的影响,标志着投资潜力;第三个因素是评估风险的指标,综合了收益的波动性和税收水平。无论采用何种回归方法,ROA都受到这三个因素的显著影响。消费因素对绩效有负向影响,而投资和风险变量对ROA有正向影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of Return on Assets in Romania: A Principal Component Analysis
Abstract This paper examines the impact of capital structure, as well as its determinants on the financial performance of Romanian companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. The analysis is based on cross sectional regressions and factor analysis, and it refers to a ten-year period (2003-2012). Return on assets (ROA) is the performance proxy, while the capital structure indicator is debt ratio. Regression results indicate that Romanian companies register higher returns when they operate with limited borrowings. Among the capital structure determinants, tangibility and business risk have a negative impact on ROA, but the level of taxation has a positive effect, showing that companies manage their assets more efficiently during times of higher fiscal pressure. Performance is sustained by sales turnover, but not significantly influenced by high levels of liquidity. Periods of unstable economic conditions, reflected by high inflation rates and the current financial crisis, have a strong negative impact on corporate performance. Based on regression results, three factors were considered through the method of iterated principal component factors: the first one incorporates debt and size, as an indicator of consumption, the second one integrates the influence of tangibility and liquidity, marking the investment potential, and the third one is an indicator of assessed risk, integrating the volatility of earnings with the level of taxation. ROA is significantly influenced by these three factors, regardless the regression method used. The consumption factor has a negative impact on performance, while the investment and risk variables positively influence ROA.
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