投资组合预期优化的情景聚合方法

IF 1.3 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
E. Jakobsons
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引用次数: 11

摘要

摘要统计功能期望词作为唯一一种既连贯又可引出的风险度量,近年来引起了风险管理领域研究者的关注。在本文中,我们考虑具有预期目标的投资组合优化问题。与其他风险度量相对应的投资组合优化问题通常通过制定基于资产回报样本的线性规划(LP)来解决。我们为投资组合预期优化问题导出了三种不同的LP公式,它们可以被认为是Rockafellar和Uryasev [43], Ogryczak和Śliwiński[41]以及Espinoza和Moreno[21]的条件风险价值(CVaR)目标的LP公式的对应。当有限合伙人基于真实(假设连续)资产回报分布的模拟样本时,从有限合伙人那里获得的投资组合只是近似最优的。我们进行了一个数值案例研究,估计了近似投资组合的次优性,这取决于样本量、资产数量和资产回报分布的尾重。此外,分析了使用三种LP公式的计算时间,表明基于场景聚合方法的公式比两种替代方案要快得多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Scenario aggregation method for portfolio expectile optimization
Abstract The statistical functional expectile has recently attracted the attention of researchers in the area of risk management, because it is the only risk measure that is both coherent and elicitable. In this article, we consider the portfolio optimization problem with an expectile objective. Portfolio optimization problems corresponding to other risk measures are often solved by formulating a linear program (LP) that is based on a sample of asset returns. We derive three different LP formulations for the portfolio expectile optimization problem, which can be considered as counterparts to the LP formulations for the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) objective in the works of Rockafellar and Uryasev [43], Ogryczak and Śliwiński [41] and Espinoza and Moreno [21]. When the LPs are based on a simulated sample of the true (assumed continuous) asset returns distribution, the portfolios obtained from the LPs are only approximately optimal. We conduct a numerical case study estimating the suboptimality of the approximate portfolios depending on the sample size, number of assets, and tail-heaviness of the asset returns distribution. Further, the computation times using the three LP formulations are analyzed, showing that the formulation that is based on a scenario aggregation approach is considerably faster than the two alternatives.
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来源期刊
Statistics & Risk Modeling
Statistics & Risk Modeling STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
6.70%
发文量
6
期刊介绍: Statistics & Risk Modeling (STRM) aims at covering modern methods of statistics and probabilistic modeling, and their applications to risk management in finance, insurance and related areas. The journal also welcomes articles related to nonparametric statistical methods and stochastic processes. Papers on innovative applications of statistical modeling and inference in risk management are also encouraged. Topics Statistical analysis for models in finance and insurance Credit-, market- and operational risk models Models for systemic risk Risk management Nonparametric statistical inference Statistical analysis of stochastic processes Stochastics in finance and insurance Decision making under uncertainty.
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