企业的心理因素及其对斯洛伐克经济和经济周期的影响

E. Jašová
{"title":"企业的心理因素及其对斯洛伐克经济和经济周期的影响","authors":"E. Jašová","doi":"10.14311/BIT.2019.01.05","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The paper analyses the uncertainties in postmodern or post-industrial or information society. It outlines the methods that are commonly used for measuring the effect of cognitive processes on decision-making and creating anomalies and uncertainties in general. It submits a Central European parallel to the VIX fear and uncertainty index used in America. It puts several demand shocks in the standard Gordon’s Triangle model for estimating inflation according to S. Sekhon. The Kalman filter method compares the values of the NAIRU and economic cycle without and with the effect of the psychological factor among companies. We outline five scenarios that map the relationship between the uncertainty perception among companies and unemployment rate. A detailed analysis quantifies the intensity of the effect of the estimated psychological factor on the supply side on the unemployment rate. It outlines the consequences for the policymakers whose policies support spilling over the positive expectations in economy.","PeriodicalId":32332,"journal":{"name":"Business IT","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"THE PSYCHOLOGICAL FACTOR OF THE COMPANIES AND THEIR EFFECT ON THE NAIRU AND ECONOMIC CYCLE IN SLOVAKIA\",\"authors\":\"E. Jašová\",\"doi\":\"10.14311/BIT.2019.01.05\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The paper analyses the uncertainties in postmodern or post-industrial or information society. It outlines the methods that are commonly used for measuring the effect of cognitive processes on decision-making and creating anomalies and uncertainties in general. It submits a Central European parallel to the VIX fear and uncertainty index used in America. It puts several demand shocks in the standard Gordon’s Triangle model for estimating inflation according to S. Sekhon. The Kalman filter method compares the values of the NAIRU and economic cycle without and with the effect of the psychological factor among companies. We outline five scenarios that map the relationship between the uncertainty perception among companies and unemployment rate. A detailed analysis quantifies the intensity of the effect of the estimated psychological factor on the supply side on the unemployment rate. It outlines the consequences for the policymakers whose policies support spilling over the positive expectations in economy.\",\"PeriodicalId\":32332,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Business IT\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Business IT\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.14311/BIT.2019.01.05\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Business IT","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.14311/BIT.2019.01.05","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了后现代或后工业社会或信息社会的不确定性。它概述了通常用于测量认知过程对决策和产生异常和不确定性的影响的方法。它提出了中欧与美国使用的VIX恐惧和不确定性指数的相似之处。根据S. Sekhon的说法,它在用于估计通胀的标准戈登三角模型中加入了几种需求冲击。卡尔曼滤波法比较了在没有心理因素影响和有心理因素影响的情况下,企业间NAIRU和经济周期的值。我们概述了五种情景,描绘了企业不确定性感知与失业率之间的关系。详细的分析量化了估计的心理因素在供给方面对失业率的影响强度。它概述了政策制定者的后果,他们的政策支持溢出了经济中的积极预期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE PSYCHOLOGICAL FACTOR OF THE COMPANIES AND THEIR EFFECT ON THE NAIRU AND ECONOMIC CYCLE IN SLOVAKIA
The paper analyses the uncertainties in postmodern or post-industrial or information society. It outlines the methods that are commonly used for measuring the effect of cognitive processes on decision-making and creating anomalies and uncertainties in general. It submits a Central European parallel to the VIX fear and uncertainty index used in America. It puts several demand shocks in the standard Gordon’s Triangle model for estimating inflation according to S. Sekhon. The Kalman filter method compares the values of the NAIRU and economic cycle without and with the effect of the psychological factor among companies. We outline five scenarios that map the relationship between the uncertainty perception among companies and unemployment rate. A detailed analysis quantifies the intensity of the effect of the estimated psychological factor on the supply side on the unemployment rate. It outlines the consequences for the policymakers whose policies support spilling over the positive expectations in economy.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
15 weeks
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信