自主创业政策能减少失业、增加就业吗?来自捷克地区的经验证据

Q1 Social Sciences
O. Dvouletý
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引用次数: 3

摘要

尽管企业家精神在后共产主义经济的经济发展中发挥了重要作用,但与中欧和东欧自营职业方案的有效性和结果有关的经验证据仍然非常少。本研究的主要目的是实证研究2012-2015年捷克NUTS 3地区失业人员自雇补贴的影响,为政策制定者提供有利于政策调整的支持性材料。本研究采用基于计量经济模型构建的定量研究框架。具有区域固定效应的估计回归模型支持捷克各地区受支持的自营职业者数量与失业率之间的负相关关系。这一发现在理论上是由必要性创业理论构成的。该计划的积极溢出效应(“双重红利”)在区域就业率上进行了计量经济学测试。获得的估计发现,在支持的自雇人数和就业率之间存在正的同期关系(弱显著),但不存在滞后。对成本的分析表明,如果考虑到新成立的自雇者向失业者支付的失业救济金和向国家支付的社会保险的替代成本,自雇计划的成本并不是那么高。因此,积极的劳动力市场政策这一工具具有更广泛使用的潜力。然而,应用的实证策略是基于区域层面的,有其局限性。提供的结果需要谨慎地加以解释,不作任何因果推论,因为方案的真正结果只能在得到支助的个人的水平上加以分析。因此,今后的研究应在个人层面上对捷克共和国开办补贴方案的有效性提出挑战,重点放在获得补贴的企业的存活率和它们以前失业的所有者的收入。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does the Self-employment Policy Reduce Unemployment and Increase Employment? Empirical Evidence from the Czech Regions
Abstract Empirical evidence related to the effectivity and outcomes of the self-employment programmes in the Central and Eastern Europe is still very rare, despite the important role of entrepreneurship in the economic development of post-communist economies. The main purpose of this study was to empirically investigate the impact of self-employment subsidy for unemployed in the Czech NUTS 3 regions for the period of years 2012–2015 to provide policy makers supportive material useful for policy adjustments. The study applies quantitative research framework, which is based on the construction of econometric models. Estimated regression models with region fixed effects supported the negative association between the amount of supported self-employed and unemployment rates in the Czech regions. This finding is theoretically framed by the theory of necessity entrepreneurship. Positive spillover of the programme (‘a double dividend’), was econometrically tested on the regional employment rates. Obtained estimates found that there is a positive contemporaneous relationship (weakly significant) between the number of supported self-employed and the employment rates but not in the lag. Analysis of the costs revealed that the costs of self-employment programme are not that high, if one takes into account the alternative costs of unemployment benefits paid to the unemployed and social insurance paid back to the state by the newly established self-employed. Therefore, this tool of active labour market policy has a potential of wider usage. Nevertheless, the applied empirical strategy was based on the regional level and has its limitations. Provided results need to be interpreted cautiously, without any causal inference, because the true outcomes of the programme could be analysed only on the level of supported individuals. Future research should therefore challenge the effectiveness of the start-up subsidy programmes in the Czech Republic on the level of individuals, with focus on the survival rates of subsidized businesses and incomes of their formerly unemployed owners.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
6
审稿时长
37 weeks
期刊介绍: The Central European Journal of Public Policy (CEJPP) is an open-access, multidisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal with primary focus upon analytical, theoretical and methodological articles in the field of public policy. The journal does not have article processing charges (APCs) nor article submission charges. The aim of the CEJPP is to provide academic scholars and professionals in different policy fields with the latest theoretical and methodological advancements in public policy supported by sound empirical research. The CEJPP addresses all topics of public policy including social services and healthcare, environmental protection, education, labour market, immigration, security, public financing and budgeting, administrative reform, performance measurements, governance and others. It attempts to find a balance between description, explanation and evaluation of public policies and encourages a wide range of social science approaches, both qualitative and quantitative. Although the journal focuses primarily upon Central Europe, relevant contributions from other geographical areas are also welcomed in order to enhance public policy research in Central Europe.
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