基于递归径向基函数神经网络的零售销售远期预测

Q3 Business, Management and Accounting
M. Rout, B. Majhi
{"title":"基于递归径向基函数神经网络的零售销售远期预测","authors":"M. Rout, B. Majhi","doi":"10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The literature survey on sales forecasting reveals that few works have been reported on long-range forecasting of sale volumes. On the other hand, there is a need of such long-range forecasting of sales data to devise suitable organisational strategy. The existing soft computing-based forecasting models provide poor prediction performance. Keeping this in view a new soft computing model is developed and utilised for prediction of seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) sales volumes up to 24 months. The simulation results of real-life data show an excellent prediction performance compared to that of four other contemporary soft computing models.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2015-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Long-range prediction of retail sales using recurrent radial basis function neural network\",\"authors\":\"M. Rout, B. Majhi\",\"doi\":\"10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The literature survey on sales forecasting reveals that few works have been reported on long-range forecasting of sale volumes. On the other hand, there is a need of such long-range forecasting of sales data to devise suitable organisational strategy. The existing soft computing-based forecasting models provide poor prediction performance. Keeping this in view a new soft computing model is developed and utilised for prediction of seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) sales volumes up to 24 months. The simulation results of real-life data show an excellent prediction performance compared to that of four other contemporary soft computing models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":35015,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-06-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Business, Management and Accounting\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Business, Management and Accounting","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

摘要

通过对销售预测的文献调查发现,关于销量长期预测的文献报道很少。另一方面,需要对销售数据进行长期预测,以制定合适的组织战略。现有的基于软计算的预测模型预测性能较差。考虑到这一点,我们开发了一种新的软计算模型,用于预测季节性调整后和非季节性调整后的24个月的销量。实际数据的仿真结果表明,与其他四种当代软计算模型相比,该模型具有较好的预测性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Long-range prediction of retail sales using recurrent radial basis function neural network
The literature survey on sales forecasting reveals that few works have been reported on long-range forecasting of sale volumes. On the other hand, there is a need of such long-range forecasting of sales data to devise suitable organisational strategy. The existing soft computing-based forecasting models provide poor prediction performance. Keeping this in view a new soft computing model is developed and utilised for prediction of seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) sales volumes up to 24 months. The simulation results of real-life data show an excellent prediction performance compared to that of four other contemporary soft computing models.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Business, Management and Accounting-Management of Technology and Innovation
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: The IJFIP has been established as a peer reviewed, international authoritative reference in the field. It publishes high calibre academic articles dealing with knowledge creation, diffusion and utilisation in innovation policy. The journal thus covers all types of Strategic Intelligence (SI). SI is defined as the set of actions that search, process, diffuse and protect information in order to make it available to the right person at the right time in order to make the right decision. Examples of SI in the domain of innovation include Foresight, Forecasting, Delphi studies, Technology Assessment, Benchmarking, R&D evaluation and Technology Roadmapping.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信