{"title":"基于递归径向基函数神经网络的零售销售远期预测","authors":"M. Rout, B. Majhi","doi":"10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The literature survey on sales forecasting reveals that few works have been reported on long-range forecasting of sale volumes. On the other hand, there is a need of such long-range forecasting of sales data to devise suitable organisational strategy. The existing soft computing-based forecasting models provide poor prediction performance. Keeping this in view a new soft computing model is developed and utilised for prediction of seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) sales volumes up to 24 months. The simulation results of real-life data show an excellent prediction performance compared to that of four other contemporary soft computing models.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2015-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Long-range prediction of retail sales using recurrent radial basis function neural network\",\"authors\":\"M. Rout, B. Majhi\",\"doi\":\"10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The literature survey on sales forecasting reveals that few works have been reported on long-range forecasting of sale volumes. On the other hand, there is a need of such long-range forecasting of sales data to devise suitable organisational strategy. The existing soft computing-based forecasting models provide poor prediction performance. Keeping this in view a new soft computing model is developed and utilised for prediction of seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) sales volumes up to 24 months. The simulation results of real-life data show an excellent prediction performance compared to that of four other contemporary soft computing models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":35015,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-06-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Business, Management and Accounting\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijfip.2015.070053","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Business, Management and Accounting","Score":null,"Total":0}
Long-range prediction of retail sales using recurrent radial basis function neural network
The literature survey on sales forecasting reveals that few works have been reported on long-range forecasting of sale volumes. On the other hand, there is a need of such long-range forecasting of sales data to devise suitable organisational strategy. The existing soft computing-based forecasting models provide poor prediction performance. Keeping this in view a new soft computing model is developed and utilised for prediction of seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) sales volumes up to 24 months. The simulation results of real-life data show an excellent prediction performance compared to that of four other contemporary soft computing models.
期刊介绍:
The IJFIP has been established as a peer reviewed, international authoritative reference in the field. It publishes high calibre academic articles dealing with knowledge creation, diffusion and utilisation in innovation policy. The journal thus covers all types of Strategic Intelligence (SI). SI is defined as the set of actions that search, process, diffuse and protect information in order to make it available to the right person at the right time in order to make the right decision. Examples of SI in the domain of innovation include Foresight, Forecasting, Delphi studies, Technology Assessment, Benchmarking, R&D evaluation and Technology Roadmapping.