ArcSWAT和SUFI2在Cisadane流域的流域建模:河流流量预测的校准和验证

I. Ridwansyah, H. Pawitan, N. Sinukaban, Y. Hidayat
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引用次数: 17

摘要

随着人口的增长和经济的发展,自然资源的利用率不断提高,对流域造成了严重的破坏。洪水、山体滑坡和干旱等自然灾害的影响变得更加频繁。Cisadane集水区是印度尼西亚108个重点流域之一。SWAT目前在世界范围内得到应用,被认为是一种通用模型,可用于整合多种环境过程,从而支持更有效的流域管理和制定更明智的政策决定。本研究的目的是研究SWAT模型在山地流域建模中的适用性,重点是印度尼西亚西爪哇省的Cisadane流域。SWAT模型模拟是在2005 - 2010年期间进行的,而它使用的是2009年的土地利用信息。序贯不确定性拟合方法。本研究采用2 (SUFI2)和人工校准相结合的方法对一次降雨径流进行了校准。2007年进行了校准,2009年进行了验证,校准的r2和Nash Sutchliffe效率(NSE)分别为0.71和0.72,验证分别为0.708和0.7。模拟的月平均地表径流量和总产水量分别为27.7 mm和2718.4 mm。该研究表明SWAT模型可以作为一种潜在的监测工具,特别是在西沙丹流域或热带地区的流域。该模型可用于其他目的,特别是在流域管理中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Watershed Modeling with ArcSWAT and SUFI2 In Cisadane Catchment Area: Calibration and Validation of River Flow Prediction
Increasing of natural resources utilization as a result of population growth and economic development has caused severe damage on the watershed. The impacts of natural disasters such as floods, landslides and droughts become more frequent. Cisadane Catchment Area is one of 108 priority watershed in Indonesia. SWAT is currently applied world wide and considered as a versatile model that can be used to integrate multiple environmental processes, which support more effective watershed management and the development of better informed policy decision. The objective of this study is to examine the applicability of SWAT model for modeling mountainous catchments, focusing on Cisadane catchment Area in west Java Province, Indonesia. The SWAT model simulation was done for the periods of 2005 – 2010 while it used landuse information in 2009. Methods of Sequential Uncertainty Fitting ver. 2 (SUFI2) and combine with manual calibration were used in this study to calibrate a rainfall-runoff. The Calibration is done on 2007 and the validation on 2009, the R 2 and Nash Sutchliffe Efficiency (NSE) of the calibration were 0.71 and 0.72 respectively and the validation are 0.708 and 0.7 respectively. The monthly average of surface runoff and total water yield from the simulation were 27.7 mm and 2718.4 mm respectively. This study showed SWAT model can be a potential monitoring tool especially for watersheds in Cisadane Catchment Area or in the tropical regions. The model can be used for another purpose, especially in watershed management.
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