糖尿病对退休的生命周期影响

V. Wilcox-Gök, M. S. Miah
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摘要

实证研究证实,糖尿病降低了退休年龄。本研究将糖尿病对退休的影响分解为退休年龄时健康状况不佳的直接影响和工作年限内资产积累减少的间接生命周期影响。我们使用来自健康与退休研究的回顾性数据,对资产水平进行对数线性回归,并对退休进行概率分析,以估计这些影响。我们的研究结果表明,糖尿病会减少资产积累。反过来,我们发现较低的资产水平显著降低了退休的可能性。相反,健康状况不佳会增加退休的可能性。在控制了健康状况和资产之后,我们发现糖尿病对退休行为没有进一步的影响,这表明我们的资产和健康变量充分反映了糖尿病的影响。虽然健康状况不佳与退休可能性增加有关,但大多数患有糖尿病的员工并不认为自己的健康状况不佳。对于这些工人来说,糖尿病导致资产积累减少和退休时间推迟,这是研究人员和政策制定者在讨论与糖尿病有关的许多关键问题时需要考虑的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The lifecycle impact of diabetes on retirement
Empirical research has established that diabetes lowers the age of retirement. This study decomposes the effect of diabetes on retirement into a direct effect of poor health at retirement age and an indirect lifecycle effect of reduced asset accumulation over working years. We use retrospective data drawn from the Health and Retirement Study in log-linear regressions of asset levels and probit analyses of retirement to estimate these effects. Our results indicate that diabetes reduces asset accumulation. In turn, we find that lower asset levels significantly reduce the probability of retirement. In contrast, poor health increases the probability of retirement. After controlling for health status and assets, we find no further impact of diabetes on retirement behaviour, suggesting that our assets and health variables adequately capture the effects of diabetes. While poor health is associated with an increase in the probability of retirement, most diabetic workers do not report their health to be poor. For these workers, diabetes leads to the accumulation of fewer assets and later retirement, an effect that needs to be considered by researchers and policy-makers discussing the many critical issues surrounding diabetes.
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