基于稳定分布方法的贵重有色金属市场投资风险的非经典度量

Dominik Krężołek
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本文的目的是介绍金融投资中常用的一些非经典风险措施,包括投资于有色金属市场的资产。考虑了黄金、白银、铂和钯价格的对数回报时间序列。为了正确评估投资风险,使用了基于风险价值方法的措施(基于分布尾部值的VaR估计方法)。此外,从相反的尾部分布中比较预期利润和预期损失的度量——拉切夫比率。假设呈递资产的对数收益属于稳定分布族。研究结果证实了用稳定分布来评价有色贵金属市场风险的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Non-Classical Measures of Investment Risk on the Market of Precious Non-Ferrous Metals Using the Methodology of Stable Distributions
The aim of this article is to present some non-classical risk measures which are commonly used in financial investments, including investments in assets from the market of precious non-ferrous metals. The time series of log-returns of gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices are considered. To properly asses the investment risk the measures based on Value-at-Risk methodology have been used (the VaR estimation approach based on values from the tail of the distribution). Additionally, the measure comparing expected profits to expected losses from the opposite tails distribution has been shown – the Rachev ratio. It was assumed that the log-returns of presented assets belong to the family of stable distributions. The results confirm the validity of the use of stable distributions to asses the risk on the precious non-ferrous metals market.
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