减轻气候变化造成的社会经济损害:托斯卡纳葡萄栽培部门的模糊认知地图优化

IF 0.8 Q3 ECONOMICS

Aestimum Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI:10.13128/AESTIMUM-17888

S. Sacchelli, V. A. Sottini

{"title":"减轻气候变化造成的社会经济损害:托斯卡纳葡萄栽培部门的模糊认知地图优化","authors":"S. Sacchelli, V. A. Sottini","doi":"10.13128/AESTIMUM-17888","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Climate change is considered one of the main potential causes for socio-economic damages in viticulture in the future. The analysis of such systems has to be carried out adopting a methodology able to link different spatial and temporal variables, as well as evaluating the uncertainty related to climatic scenario. Thus, the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) approach was adopted to analyse potential viticulture trends under climate alteration in the Tuscany region (Italy). Best allocation of policy resources and incentives for mitigation of socio-economic impacts were tested through the application of nonlinear programming (NLP). Best policy scenario were depicted applying a multicriteria approach. Results highlighted the importance of regulation measures and the maintenance of quality brand.","PeriodicalId":53999,"journal":{"name":"Aestimum","volume":"1 1","pages":"117-133"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2015-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.13128/AESTIMUM-17888","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Mitigation of socio-economic damage due to climate change: a fuzzy cognitive map optimisation for the tuscan viticulture sector\",\"authors\":\"S. Sacchelli, V. A. Sottini\",\"doi\":\"10.13128/AESTIMUM-17888\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Climate change is considered one of the main potential causes for socio-economic damages in viticulture in the future. The analysis of such systems has to be carried out adopting a methodology able to link different spatial and temporal variables, as well as evaluating the uncertainty related to climatic scenario. Thus, the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) approach was adopted to analyse potential viticulture trends under climate alteration in the Tuscany region (Italy). Best allocation of policy resources and incentives for mitigation of socio-economic impacts were tested through the application of nonlinear programming (NLP). Best policy scenario were depicted applying a multicriteria approach. Results highlighted the importance of regulation measures and the maintenance of quality brand.\",\"PeriodicalId\":53999,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Aestimum\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"117-133\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.13128/AESTIMUM-17888\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Aestimum\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.13128/AESTIMUM-17888\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Aestimum","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.13128/AESTIMUM-17888","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化被认为是未来葡萄栽培社会经济损失的主要潜在原因之一。对这些系统的分析必须采用一种能够将不同的空间和时间变量联系起来的方法，并评估与气候情景有关的不确定性。因此，采用模糊认知图(FCM)方法来分析托斯卡纳地区(意大利)气候变化下的潜在葡萄栽培趋势。通过应用非线性规划，检验了政策资源的最佳分配和减轻社会经济影响的激励措施。应用多标准方法描述了最佳策略场景。结果突出了监管措施和维护优质品牌的重要性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Mitigation of socio-economic damage due to climate change: a fuzzy cognitive map optimisation for the tuscan viticulture sector

Climate change is considered one of the main potential causes for socio-economic damages in viticulture in the future. The analysis of such systems has to be carried out adopting a methodology able to link different spatial and temporal variables, as well as evaluating the uncertainty related to climatic scenario. Thus, the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) approach was adopted to analyse potential viticulture trends under climate alteration in the Tuscany region (Italy). Best allocation of policy resources and incentives for mitigation of socio-economic impacts were tested through the application of nonlinear programming (NLP). Best policy scenario were depicted applying a multicriteria approach. Results highlighted the importance of regulation measures and the maintenance of quality brand.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Aestimum ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

12 weeks

期刊介绍： Aestimum is a peer-reviewed Journal dedicated to the methodological study of appraisal and land economics. Established in 1976 by the Italian Association of Appraisers and Land Economists, which was legally recognized by Ministerial Decree, March 1993. Topics of interests comprise rural, urban and environmental appraisal, evaluation of public investments and land use planning. All the areas under discussion are addressed to the International scene. The interdisciplinary approach is one of the mainstays of this editorial project and all of the above mentioned topics are developed taking into consideration the economic, legal and urban planning aspects. Aestimum is biannual Journal and publishes articles both in Italian and English. Articles submitted are subjected to a double blind peer review process.