主编的评论

Q1 Arts and Humanities
Yongho Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我谨代表《朝鲜评论》祝大家2017年快乐。一如既往,我很高兴为大家带来另一期的NKR。这是美国新一届总统任期伊始的第一个问题,可以肯定的是,这给国际舞台带来了一定程度的不可预测性和不确定性,这是我们很长一段时间以来从未见过的。可以肯定的是,在最近的记忆中,美国对世界的政策方向从未有过如此大的变化,朝鲜半岛也不例外。在这种情况下,本期NKR包含了一些有趣的内容,为处理朝鲜问题提供了一些建议和潜在的新途径。Blinka和Křiž试图通过事件数据分析来揭示美国和朝鲜之间的关系是由互惠战略还是欺凌战略驱动的。他们发现有可能确定互惠或欺凌的存在以及在给定时期内相互关系的总体模式。他们的结论是,各国不应期望其对手以互惠的方式作出回应,尤其是在它们努力建立长期合作关系的时候。在与朝鲜打交道时,他们认为各国应该采取坚定的立场,而不是提供积极的刺激,因为积极的刺激往往会被利用而得不到回报。李和金寻求解决中国在制裁朝鲜方面的合作和限制。本研究超越了大多数现有研究,即在中国外交政策或东北亚秩序中有关朝鲜半岛的政策的背景下讨论朝鲜核制裁。他们发现,虽然观念和利益对国家行为产生了根本性的影响,但中国需要一个制度基础来投射其行动或偏好。简而言之,中国对核制度的看法不断变化,相关利益不断增加,以及国内制度环境的演变,使其与国际制裁合作成为可能。布鲁斯在冲突转化理论的基础上,提出了一种理解朝鲜核政策的新方法。通过将朝鲜半岛局势概念化为一场旷日持久的冲突(要么是朝鲜与大韩民国之间的冲突,要么是朝鲜与美国之间的冲突),可以对与朝鲜接触和冲突的旷日持久循环的本质产生新的见解。在这种背景下,可以分析核项目的作用和轨迹,了解军备控制谈判的失败和必要性。他表明,冲突转化理论的使用为朝鲜安全政策和外交政策行为提供了一种分析上连贯的解释,比其他方法更符合经验证据。帕特森开始探究朝鲜在履行其自我规定的义务以确保大众的经济和社会平等方面效率低下的原因。此外,他的目的是揭露这些不平等问题和其他国内问题,以便关注那些在主要基于国际关系的关于国家的论述中经常被忽视的话题。...
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Editor-in-Chief's Comments
Dear Readers,On behalf of North Korean Review I wish you a Happy 2017. As always, it is my pleasure to bring you another edition of NKR. This issue is the first at the beginning of a new American presidency which, to be certain, has introduced a certain level of unpredictability and uncertainty to the international stage that we have not seen in quite some time. To be sure, never in recent memory has there been so much potential for a change in the U.S. policy direction all over the world, with the Korean Peninsula being no exception. In that vein, this issue of NKR includes some interesting offerings that give some advice and potential new avenues for dealing with North Korea.Blinka and Křiž attempt to uncover whether relations between the United States and North Korea are driven by reciprocal or bullying strategies by using event data analysis. They find it is possible to determine the existence of reciprocity or bullying and the over-all pattern of mutual relations in a given period. Their conclusion is that states should not expect their counterparts to respond in a reciprocal manner, especially when they strive to establish long-term cooperative relations. When dealing with North Korea, they contend that states should take a firm stance rather than offering positive stimuli, because those tend to be exploited and not reciprocated.Lee and Kim seek to address China's cooperation and limitations in sanctioning North Korea. This study goes beyond the majority of existing research which discusses North Korea's nuclear sanctions in the context of China's foreign policy or policies concerning the Korean Peninsula in the Northeast Asian order. They find that while perception and interests pose fundamental influence on state behavior, an institutional foundation is needed for China to project its actions or preferences. In short, cooperation with international sanctions was made possible with China's changing perception of the nuclear regime, increase in relevant interests, and evolution of the domestic institutional environment.Bluth develops a novel approach to understand North Korea's nuclear policy on the basis of conflict transformation theory. By conceptualizing the situation on the Korean peninsula as a protracted conflict (either between the DPRK and the Republic of Korea or North Korea and the United States), new insights into the nature of the protracted cycle of engagement and conflict with North Korea can be developed. In this context, the role and trajectory of the nuclear program can be analyzed and both the failure of and the need for arms control negotiations understood. He shows that the use of conflict transformation theory provides an analytically coherent explanation of North Korean security policy and foreign policy behavior that fits the empirical evidence more closely than alternative approaches.Patterson sets out to explore the ways in which North Korea has low efficacy in fulfilling its self-prescribed duties to ensure economic and social equality to the masses. Furthermore, he aims to expose these issues of inequality and other domestic problems in order to focus on topics which are often left at the wayside in a chiefly international relations based discourse about the state. …
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来源期刊
North Korean Review
North Korean Review Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
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