{"title":"准平稳分布与总体过程","authors":"S. M'el'eard, D. Villemonais","doi":"10.1214/11-PS191","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with \na specific focus on models derived from ecology and population \ndynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different \nstochastic population size processes when 0 is an absorbing point \nalmost surely attained by the process. The hitting time of this point, \nnamely the extinction time, can be large compared to the physical time \nand the population size can fluctuate for large amount of time before \nextinction actually occurs. This phenomenon can be understood by the \nstudy of quasi-limiting distributions. In this paper, general results \non quasi-stationarity are given and examples developed in detail. One \nshows in particular how this notion is related to the spectral \nproperties of the semi-group of the process killed at 0. Then we \nstudy different stochastic population models including nonlinear terms \nmodeling the regulation of the population. These models will take \nvalues in countable sets (as birth and death processes) or in \ncontinuous spaces (as logistic Feller diffusion processes or \nstochastic Lotka-Volterra processes). In all these situations we study \nin detail the quasi-stationarity properties. We also develop an \nalgorithm based on Fleming-Viot particle systems and show a lot of \nnumerical pictures.","PeriodicalId":46216,"journal":{"name":"Probability Surveys","volume":"18 1","pages":"340-410"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3000,"publicationDate":"2011-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1214/11-PS191","citationCount":"227","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Quasi-stationary distributions and population processes\",\"authors\":\"S. M'el'eard, D. Villemonais\",\"doi\":\"10.1214/11-PS191\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with \\na specific focus on models derived from ecology and population \\ndynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different \\nstochastic population size processes when 0 is an absorbing point \\nalmost surely attained by the process. The hitting time of this point, \\nnamely the extinction time, can be large compared to the physical time \\nand the population size can fluctuate for large amount of time before \\nextinction actually occurs. This phenomenon can be understood by the \\nstudy of quasi-limiting distributions. In this paper, general results \\non quasi-stationarity are given and examples developed in detail. One \\nshows in particular how this notion is related to the spectral \\nproperties of the semi-group of the process killed at 0. Then we \\nstudy different stochastic population models including nonlinear terms \\nmodeling the regulation of the population. These models will take \\nvalues in countable sets (as birth and death processes) or in \\ncontinuous spaces (as logistic Feller diffusion processes or \\nstochastic Lotka-Volterra processes). In all these situations we study \\nin detail the quasi-stationarity properties. We also develop an \\nalgorithm based on Fleming-Viot particle systems and show a lot of \\nnumerical pictures.\",\"PeriodicalId\":46216,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Probability Surveys\",\"volume\":\"18 1\",\"pages\":\"340-410\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2011-12-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1214/11-PS191\",\"citationCount\":\"227\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Probability Surveys\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1214/11-PS191\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Probability Surveys","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1214/11-PS191","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Quasi-stationary distributions and population processes
This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with
a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population
dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different
stochastic population size processes when 0 is an absorbing point
almost surely attained by the process. The hitting time of this point,
namely the extinction time, can be large compared to the physical time
and the population size can fluctuate for large amount of time before
extinction actually occurs. This phenomenon can be understood by the
study of quasi-limiting distributions. In this paper, general results
on quasi-stationarity are given and examples developed in detail. One
shows in particular how this notion is related to the spectral
properties of the semi-group of the process killed at 0. Then we
study different stochastic population models including nonlinear terms
modeling the regulation of the population. These models will take
values in countable sets (as birth and death processes) or in
continuous spaces (as logistic Feller diffusion processes or
stochastic Lotka-Volterra processes). In all these situations we study
in detail the quasi-stationarity properties. We also develop an
algorithm based on Fleming-Viot particle systems and show a lot of
numerical pictures.