{"title":"具有从属误差的周期性 ARMA 模型的波特曼检验","authors":"Y. Boubacar Maïnassara, A. Ilmi Amir","doi":"10.1111/jtsa.12692","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this article, we derive the asymptotic distributions of residual and normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations of (parsimonious) periodic autoregressive moving-average (PARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We then deduce the modified portmanteau statistics. We establish the asymptotic behavior of the proposed statistics. It is shown that the asymptotic distribution of the modified portmanteau tests is that of a weighted sum of independent chi-squared random variables, which can be different from the usual chi-squared approximation used under independent and identically distributed assumption on the noise. We also propose another test based on a self-normalization approach to check the adequacy of PARMA models. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and an application to financial data are presented.</p>","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Portmanteau tests for periodic ARMA models with dependent errors\",\"authors\":\"Y. Boubacar Maïnassara, A. Ilmi Amir\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jtsa.12692\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>In this article, we derive the asymptotic distributions of residual and normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations of (parsimonious) periodic autoregressive moving-average (PARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We then deduce the modified portmanteau statistics. We establish the asymptotic behavior of the proposed statistics. It is shown that the asymptotic distribution of the modified portmanteau tests is that of a weighted sum of independent chi-squared random variables, which can be different from the usual chi-squared approximation used under independent and identically distributed assumption on the noise. We also propose another test based on a self-normalization approach to check the adequacy of PARMA models. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and an application to financial data are presented.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":1,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":16.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-05-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12692\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"化学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12692","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Portmanteau tests for periodic ARMA models with dependent errors
In this article, we derive the asymptotic distributions of residual and normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations of (parsimonious) periodic autoregressive moving-average (PARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We then deduce the modified portmanteau statistics. We establish the asymptotic behavior of the proposed statistics. It is shown that the asymptotic distribution of the modified portmanteau tests is that of a weighted sum of independent chi-squared random variables, which can be different from the usual chi-squared approximation used under independent and identically distributed assumption on the noise. We also propose another test based on a self-normalization approach to check the adequacy of PARMA models. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and an application to financial data are presented.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.