具有从属误差的周期性 ARMA 模型的波特曼检验

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Y. Boubacar Maïnassara, A. Ilmi Amir
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们在误差不相关但不一定独立的假设下,推导了(拟)周期自回归移动平均(PARMA)模型的残差和归一化残差经验自变量和自相关的渐近分布。然后,我们推导出修正的波特曼统计量。我们建立了所提出统计量的渐近行为。结果表明,修正波特曼检验的渐近分布是独立卡方随机变量的加权和,这可能不同于在噪声独立且同分布假设下使用的通常卡方近似值。我们还提出了另一种基于自归一化方法的检验方法,以检查 PARMA 模型的适当性。文中还介绍了一组蒙特卡罗实验以及对金融数据的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Portmanteau tests for periodic ARMA models with dependent errors

In this article, we derive the asymptotic distributions of residual and normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations of (parsimonious) periodic autoregressive moving-average (PARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We then deduce the modified portmanteau statistics. We establish the asymptotic behavior of the proposed statistics. It is shown that the asymptotic distribution of the modified portmanteau tests is that of a weighted sum of independent chi-squared random variables, which can be different from the usual chi-squared approximation used under independent and identically distributed assumption on the noise. We also propose another test based on a self-normalization approach to check the adequacy of PARMA models. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and an application to financial data are presented.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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