投票权法案诉讼中的证据:对种族投票模式的准确估计

IF 1.3 Q1 LAW
de Benedictis-KessnerJustin
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引用次数: 4

摘要

选举权法案诉讼,即使是在谢尔比县诉霍尔德案之后,也需要对种族集团投票进行估计,或者不同种族群体成员投票的差异程度。虽然有多种方法来进行这些估计,但缺乏对这些方法的直接评价和比较。我使用了五个州选区的党派和种族信息的大型数据集,以在诉讼中可能使用的方式来研究这些替代方法。此外,我将这些方法的应用扩展到在有多个少数民族的地区估计种族群体偏好,并评估生态回归估计中较大和较小误差的背景决定因素。我的结论是,King(1997)开发的生态推断方法,结合了兴趣数量的确定性区域级界限,并且很容易使用开源软件实现,为区域-s提供了最佳估计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evidence in Voting Rights Act Litigation: Producing Accurate Estimates of Racial Voting Patterns
Abstract Voting Rights Act litigation, even in the wake of Shelby County v. Holder, requires estimates of racial bloc voting, or the extent to which members of different racial groups vote differently. Although there are a variety of methods to make these estimates, direct evaluation and comparison of these methods is lacking. I examine these alternate methods in the way that they might be used in litigation using a large dataset of partisanship and racial information at the precinct level in five states. Additionally, I extend the application of these methods to estimation of racial group preferences in locations with more than one racial minority and assess the contextual determinants of larger and smaller errors in ecological regression estimates. I conclude that the ecological inference method developed by King (1997), which incorporates the deterministic precinct-level bounds on the quantities of interest and is easily implemented using open-source software, provides the best estimates for precinct-s...
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
16.70%
发文量
13
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