疫情防控资源配置的仿真优化

P. Kasaie, W. Kelton
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引用次数: 31

摘要

我们考虑了流行病控制中的资源分配(RA)问题,其中在竞争性医疗干预措施中分配固定预算以实现最佳健康效益,并提出了一个模拟优化框架来解决该问题的一般形式。虽然传统的流行病类风湿关节炎问题方法存在限制性假设,以促进精确的分析解,但基于模拟的技术放宽了这些假设,并提供了更真实的流行病表示。将仿真模型与优化技术相结合,使我们能够分析不同投资策略下RA结果的行为,并寻求最优配置。我们讨论了实施步骤,并说明了我们的方法,RA问题在控制流感大流行与几个相互作用的卫生保健干预。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulation optimization for allocation of epidemic-control resources
We consider the problem of resource allocation (RA) in the control of epidemics where a fixed budget is allocated among competing healthcare interventions to achieve the best health benefits, and propose a simulation-optimization framework to address a general form of the problem. While traditional approaches to the epidemic RA problem suffer from restrictive assumptions to facilitate exact analytical solutions, a simulation-based technique relaxes such assumptions and provides a more realistic representation of the epidemic. Coupling the simulation model with optimization techniques enables us to analyze the behavior of RA outcomes with regard to different investment strategies and seek optimal allocations. We discuss implementation steps and illustrate our approach for an RA problem in the control of influenza pandemic with several interacting healthcare interventions.
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