应对大型事件的紧急医疗服务分配

Gabriel Zayas-Cabán, M. Lewis, M. Olson, Samuel Schmitz
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引用次数: 14

摘要

在发生灾难性或大规模事件时,对紧急医疗服务(EMS)车辆的需求几乎肯定会超过可用的供应。在这种情况下,城市有必要向邻近城市请求援助(以增加能力的形式),以便使受影响地区恢复到日常运作水平。我们特别考虑一个由几个城市组成的区域,其中每个城市负责管理自己的EMS车辆。我们建议由中央或全州的决策者协调将资源(EMS车辆)从未受影响地区的城市临时转移到受影响地区的城市。将每个城市的EMS车辆控制建模为一个多服务器排队系统,并利用经典结果估计每个城市的可用车辆数量。然后,我们建立了一个确定性的资源分配模型来指导从捐赠地区到受影响地区的可用车辆分配,并建立了一个清算系统模型来动态控制增加的资源。由于问题的维度很大,我们提出了一种启发式的伙伴系统,其中城市配对形成城市群体。在城市群内部,利用马尔可夫决策过程求解清理系统模型。通过详细的数值研究,将我们的启发式算法的性能与其他几种合理的启发式算法进行了比较。结果表明,伙伴系统具有显著的成本和时间节约,并且对不同参数具有一般的鲁棒性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Emergency medical service allocation in response to large-scale events
In the event of a catastrophic or large-scale event, demand for Emergency Medical Service (EMS) vehicles will almost certainly overwhelm the available supply. In such cases, it is necessary for cities to request aid (in the form of added capacity) from neighboring municipalities in order to bring the affected region back to its day-to-day levels of operation. In particular, we consider a region consisting of several cities, where each city is in charge of managing its own EMS vehicles. We propose that a centralized or statewide decision-maker coordinate the temporary transfer of resources (EMS vehicles) from cities in the unaffected region into the cities in the affected region. The control of each city’s EMS vehicles is modeled as a multi-server queueing system and classical results are used to estimate the number of vehicles available at each city. We then develop a deterministic resource allocation model to guide the allocation of available vehicles from the donor area into the affected one and a clearing system model to dynamically control the added resources.As the dimension of the problem is large, a heuristic we call the buddy system is proposed where cities are paired to form city groups. Within the city groups the clearing system model is solved by Markov decision processes. The performance of our heuristic is compared to several other reasonable heuristics via a detailed numerical study. Results show that the buddy system exhibits significant cost and time savings, and is generally robust to varying parameters.
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