在弹性农业系统的背景下,利用微观世界进行决策

IF 1.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
H. Herrera, B. Kopainsky
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引用次数: 1

摘要

农业系统的弹性管理需要建立对系统适应能力的潜在驱动因素的理解。在本文中,我们使用弹性的概念作为框架来理解牛畜牧业系统如何适应具有挑战性的环境,社会和政治条件。利用交互式模拟模型(微世界),我们探讨了气候变化导致的社会经济景观同步变化和不可预测的天气条件对法国波旁地区畜牧农民的潜在影响。研究结果表明,牺牲短期和中期的社会经济绩效可能会增加长期的可持续性和弹性,从而为系统规模和长期可持续性之间的潜在权衡提供了见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Using microworlds for policymaking in the context of resilient farming systems
ABSTRACT Resilience management of farming systems requires building an understanding of the underlying drivers of the adaptive capacity of the system. In this paper, we use the concept of resilience as a framework to understand how bovine livestock farming systems may adjust to challenging environmental, social, and political conditions. Using an interactive simulation model (microworld), we explored potential developments for livestock farmers in Bourbonnais, France, to the effect of simultaneous changes in the socioeconomic landscape and unpredictable weather conditions resulting from climate change. The results offer insights into the potential trade-offs between systems scale and long-term sustainability by suggesting that sacrificing socioeconomic performance in the short and medium term may increase long-term sustainability and resilience.
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来源期刊
Journal of Simulation
Journal of Simulation COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
16.00%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: Journal of Simulation (JOS) aims to publish both articles and technical notes from researchers and practitioners active in the field of simulation. In JOS, the field of simulation includes the techniques, tools, methods and technologies of the application and the use of discrete-event simulation, agent-based modelling and system dynamics.
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