伊朗地区外交政策中的“代理人战争”战略

Q2 Arts and Humanities
R. Cohen, Gadi P. Shamci
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引用次数: 0

摘要

伊朗伊斯兰共和国向中东输出革命的努力已经是老生常谈了。近代史上规模最大的地区性常规战争是两伊战争(1980-1988),这场战争不仅加剧了阿拉伯逊尼派和波斯什叶派之间的历史敌意,还揭示了伊朗在中东其他什叶派社区中的新外交政策激进主义——但不仅仅是他们。本文认为,在未能在伊拉克建立亲伊朗政府之后,伊朗的地区外交政策,特别是在管理其代理人和盟友的问题上,伊朗试图通过伊拉克和叙利亚在伊朗和黎巴嫩之间建立一个功能性的领土走廊,将叙利亚地理区域视为完成这一战略所需的最后一个重要堡垒。尽管由于数十年的制裁和孤立,伊朗的经济问题非常严重,但伊朗仍然投资数十亿美元来保卫这个堡垒。这项工作的核心论点是,代理人目前为伊朗和叙利亚提供的战术成功仅限于维护叙利亚政权这一非常具体的目标,因为这是使伊朗能够扩大其地区据点的原因。然而,就这是一项有效的长期战略而言,尽管伊朗坚持认为代理人战争是必要的,但这样的战争也有利于它的对手。这是因为该战略导致伊朗在该地区更加孤立自己,并失去其影响力的领土。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The “Proxy Wars” Strategy in Iranian Regional Foreign Policy
ABSTRACT The Islamic Republic of Iran’s efforts to export its revolution in the Middle East is quite old news. The largest regional conventional war in recent history was the Iran-Iraq War (1980–1988), which not only sharpened the historical enmities and hostilities between Arab-Sunnis and Persian-Shiʿi but also revealed Iran’s new foreign policy activism among the other Shiʿi communities in the Middle East – but not only them. This article argues that, after having failed to establish a pro-Iranian government in Iraq, Iran’s regional foreign policy, especially in the matters of managing its proxies and allies in its efforts to build a functional territorial corridor between Iran and Lebanon via Iraq and Syria, views the Syrian geographical region as the last important fortress it needs to complete this strategy. Even though Iran’s economic problems are acute because of decades of sanctions and isolation, Iran still invests billions of dollars in order to safeguard this bastion. The central argument of this work is that the tactical success that the proxies are presently providing for Iran and Syria has been limited to the very specific goal of preserving the Syrian regime since this is what has been enabling Iran to expand its regional stronghold. In terms of this being an effective long-term strategy, however, and despite Iran’s insistence that a proxy war is necessary, such a war benefits its rivals as well. This is because the strategy leads to Iran isolating itself even more in the region and to a loss of its territories of influence.
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来源期刊
Journal of the Middle East and Africa
Journal of the Middle East and Africa Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
20
期刊介绍: The Journal of the Middle East and Africa, the flagship publication of the Association for the Study of the Middle East and Africa (ASMEA), is the first peer-reviewed academic journal to include both the entire continent of Africa and the Middle East within its purview—exploring the historic social, economic, and political links between these two regions, as well as the modern challenges they face. Interdisciplinary in its nature, The Journal of the Middle East and Africa approaches the regions from the perspectives of Middle Eastern and African studies as well as anthropology, economics, history, international law, political science, religion, security studies, women''s studies, and other disciplines of the social sciences and humanities. It seeks to promote new research to understand better the past and chart more clearly the future of scholarship on the regions. The histories, cultures, and peoples of the Middle East and Africa long have shared important commonalities. The traces of these linkages in current events as well as contemporary scholarly and popular discourse reminds us of how these two geopolitical spaces historically have been—and remain—very much connected to each other and central to world history. Now more than ever, there is an acute need for quality scholarship and a deeper understanding of the Middle East and Africa, both historically and as contemporary realities. The Journal of the Middle East and Africa seeks to provide such understanding and stimulate further intellectual debate about them for the betterment of all.
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