Multiclass first-order traffic model using stochastic fundamental diagrams

The first-order continuum traffic model has been extensively studied in the state-of-the-art of traffic flow theory due to its simplicity and capability to represent many real traffic problems, such as a shock-wave formation. Furthermore, recent extension of the first-order model to multiclass traffic dynamics has revealed some interesting non-linear traffic phenomena such as hysteresis and capacity drop. However, most of the existing first-order continuum models do not display the widely scattered flow–density relationship. We argue in this article that the widely scattered flow–density relationship might be caused by the random variations in driving behaviour. It is shown that both of the hysteresis transitions and the wide scattering can be reproduced by a multiclass first-order model with a stochastic setting in the model parameters. The simulation results support our findings and are in good agreement with the real data.