玫瑰的名字和罪犯侧写:ViCAP和ViCLAS的好处

Richard N Kocsis
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引用次数: 8

摘要

尽管对犯罪侧写的研究和实践不断增长,但这一主题仍然存在三个主要不足。首先是该领域缺乏一致性,这导致了越来越多的不一致和矛盾的定理。在许多方面,这个问题隐含着拿苹果和橘子作比较的谚语。同样,“房间里的大象”这句谚语描述了第二个主要不足,即缺乏对所支持的范式的有效性(即准确性)进行测试的研究。最后,“厨师多了反而坏了汤”这句谚语描述了第三个主要不足,即围绕这个话题的公众兴趣适得其反。这些不足之处综合起来,似乎形成了一个自我延续的循环。使用暴力犯罪数据库,如ViCAP和ViCLAS,被认为是通过纠正这些因素来阻止这种循环的潜在机制,这些因素继续阻碍犯罪侧写的有说服力的科学发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Name of the Rose and Criminal Profiling: The Benefits of ViCAP and ViCLAS
Despite the continued growth in both the research and practice into criminal profiling, three major shortfalls continue to permeate the topic. The first is a lack of coherency in the field which has, as a consequence, led to increasingly discordant and contradictory theorems. In many respects this problem is connotative of the adage comparing apples with oranges. Likewise, the adage the elephant in the room describes the second major shortfall concerning a paucity of research testing the validity (i.e., accuracy) of espoused paradigms. Finally, the adage too many cooks spoil the broth describes the third major shortfall concerning the counterproductive popular interest surrounding the topic. These shortfalls when examined collectively appear to form a self-perpetuating cycle. The use of violent crime databases such as ViCAP and ViCLAS are suggested as potential mechanisms in arresting this cycle by rectifying these factors, which continue to stymie the cogent scientific development of criminal profiling.
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