基于神经网络的HFACS与非HFACS相关因素对通用航空事故死亡人数的影响

Dahai Liu, T. Nickens, Leon C. Hardy, A. Boquet
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引用次数: 11

摘要

本研究采用反向传播人工神经网络方法,研究与HFACS(人因分析与分类系统)相关的不安全行为层次因素和其他非HFACS因素,试图识别通用航空事故死亡模式。数据来自HFACS数据库,并从1990年至2002年的国家运输安全委员会数据库中提取。建立了多个神经网络模型,并根据一系列准则选择出最优拟合模型。对验证模型进行敏感性分析,对导致通用航空死亡的因素进行排序。讨论了结果并给出了实际意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of HFACS and Non-HFACS-Related Factors on Fatalities in General Aviation Accidents Using Neural Networks
This study applied a backpropagation artificial neural network approach to investigate both the Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS)-related unsafe act tiers of factors and other non-HFACS factors in an attempt to recognize patterns for general aviation accident fatalities. Data were obtained from the HFACS database and extracted from the National Transportation Safety Board database from 1990 to 2002. Multiple neural network models were created and the best fit model was selected based on a sequence of criteria. A sensitivity analysis was performed on the validated model to rank the factors that lead to general aviation fatalities. Results are discussed and practical implications are given.
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