西非货币区(WAMZ)是一个共同货币区吗?

IF 0.7 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Simon K. Harvey , Matthew J. Cushing
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引用次数: 38

摘要

本文采用结构向量自回归模型对西非货币区(WAMZ)是否为共同货币区进行检验,研究了西非货币区国家潜在结构性冲击的方差分解、关键经济变量的脉冲响应和线性依赖关系。方差分解表明,作为一个整体,该地区没有共同的冲击来源,这是预期的,因为这些国家的经济结构不同。结构性冲击的相关性还表明,这些国家对共同的供给、需求和货币冲击的反应是不对称的,因此对共同货币政策的反应也会不同。因此,除非这些国家的经济进一步趋同,否则现在或在不久的将来加入货币联盟不符合个别国家的利益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) a common currency area?

In this paper, we test whether the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) is a common currency area by using a structural vector autoregressive model to study the variance decomposition, impulse responses of key economic variables and linear dependence of the underlying structural shocks of the countries in the zone. The variance decomposition shows that the zone as a whole does not have common sources of shock, which is expected because of the diverse economic structures of these countries. The correlation of the structural shocks also shows that these countries respond asymmetrically to common supply, demand and monetary shocks and will therefore respond differently to a common monetary policy. It is therefore not in the interest of the individual countries to go into a monetary union now or in the near future unless the economies of these countries converge further.

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来源期刊
Review of Development Finance
Review of Development Finance Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
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0.80
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