高通胀与不稳定发展下经济动力学的精细化数学模型

IF 0.5 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS
V. A. Sadovnichiy,  A. A. Akaev, A. I. Zvyagintsev, A. I. Sarygulov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

此前,作者提出了两个数学模型来描述经济发展速度的动态和预测通货膨胀率。2022年2月之后发生的事件给俄罗斯宏观经济动态过程带来了重大动荡因素,这需要对之前的模型进行一些修正。这在本文中有所反映。在新模型的基础上模拟的过程表明,在中期恢复经济增长和减少通货膨胀需要大幅降低利率和稳定增加货币供应量。它表明,在当前地缘政治变化和许多自由市场教条崩溃的时代,国家和计划在管理经济过程中的作用正在增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Refined Mathematical Model of Economic Dynamics under High Inflation and Unstable Development

Refined Mathematical Model of Economic Dynamics under High Inflation and Unstable Development

Previously, the authors proposed two mathematical models that describe the dynamics of economic development rates and forecasting inflation rates. The events that took place after February 2022 introduced an element of significant turbulence into the processes of macroeconomic dynamics in Russia, which required some correction of the previous models. This is reflected in this article. The processes simulated on the basis of new models show that a significant reduction in the interest rate and a steady increase in the money supply are required to restore economic growth and reduce inflation in the medium term. It is shown that, in the current era of geopolitical changes and the collapse of many liberal market dogmas, the role of the state and planning in managing economic processes is increasing.

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来源期刊
Doklady Mathematics
Doklady Mathematics 数学-数学
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
16.70%
发文量
39
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Doklady Mathematics is a journal of the Presidium of the Russian Academy of Sciences. It contains English translations of papers published in Doklady Akademii Nauk (Proceedings of the Russian Academy of Sciences), which was founded in 1933 and is published 36 times a year. Doklady Mathematics includes the materials from the following areas: mathematics, mathematical physics, computer science, control theory, and computers. It publishes brief scientific reports on previously unpublished significant new research in mathematics and its applications. The main contributors to the journal are Members of the RAS, Corresponding Members of the RAS, and scientists from the former Soviet Union and other foreign countries. Among the contributors are the outstanding Russian mathematicians.
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