Laurent Dubus, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Alberto Troccoli, Matteo De Felice, Yohann Moreau, Linh Ho-Tran, Clare Goodess, Rodrigo Amaro e Silva, Luke Sanger
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C3S Energy: A climate service for the provision of power supply and demand indicators for Europe based on the ERA5 reanalysis and ENTSO-E data
The EU Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has produced an operational climate service, called C3S Energy, designed to enable the energy industry and policymakers to assess the impacts of climate variability and climate change on the energy sector in Europe. The C3S Energy service covers different time horizons, for the past 40 years and the future. It provides time series of electricity demand and supply from wind, solar photovoltaic and hydropower, and can be used for recent trends analysis, seasonal outlooks or the assessment of climate change impacts on energy mixes in the long term. This article introduces this service and the resulting dataset, with a focus on the design and validation of the energy conversion models, based on ENTSO-E energy data and the ERA5 climate reanalysis. Flexibility and coherence across all countries have been preferred upon models' accuracy. However, the comparison with ENTSO-E data shows that the models provide plausible energy indicators and, in particular, allow comparing climate variability effects on power demand and generation in a harmonized manner all over Europe.
期刊介绍:
The aim of Meteorological Applications is to serve the needs of applied meteorologists, forecasters and users of meteorological services by publishing papers on all aspects of meteorological science, including:
applications of meteorological, climatological, analytical and forecasting data, and their socio-economic benefits;
forecasting, warning and service delivery techniques and methods;
weather hazards, their analysis and prediction;
performance, verification and value of numerical models and forecasting services;
practical applications of ocean and climate models;
education and training.