C3S能源:基于ERA5再分析和ENTSO-E数据为欧洲提供电力供需指标的气候服务

IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Laurent Dubus, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Alberto Troccoli, Matteo De Felice, Yohann Moreau, Linh Ho-Tran, Clare Goodess, Rodrigo Amaro e Silva, Luke Sanger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

欧盟哥白尼气候变化服务机构(C3S)推出了一项名为C3S Energy的运营性气候服务,旨在使能源行业和政策制定者能够评估气候变化和气候变化对欧洲能源部门的影响。C3S能源服务涵盖了过去40年的不同时间范围 年和未来。它提供了风能、太阳能光伏和水电的电力需求和供应的时间序列,可用于近期趋势分析、季节展望或评估气候变化对长期能源组合的影响。本文介绍了这项服务和由此产生的数据集,重点是基于ENTSO-E能源数据和ERA5气候再分析的能源转换模型的设计和验证。所有国家的灵活性和一致性优先于模型的准确性。然而,与ENTSO-E数据的比较表明,这些模型提供了合理的能源指标,特别是允许以协调的方式比较气候变化对整个欧洲电力需求和发电的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

C3S Energy: A climate service for the provision of power supply and demand indicators for Europe based on the ERA5 reanalysis and ENTSO-E data

C3S Energy: A climate service for the provision of power supply and demand indicators for Europe based on the ERA5 reanalysis and ENTSO-E data

The EU Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has produced an operational climate service, called C3S Energy, designed to enable the energy industry and policymakers to assess the impacts of climate variability and climate change on the energy sector in Europe. The C3S Energy service covers different time horizons, for the past 40 years and the future. It provides time series of electricity demand and supply from wind, solar photovoltaic and hydropower, and can be used for recent trends analysis, seasonal outlooks or the assessment of climate change impacts on energy mixes in the long term. This article introduces this service and the resulting dataset, with a focus on the design and validation of the energy conversion models, based on ENTSO-E energy data and the ERA5 climate reanalysis. Flexibility and coherence across all countries have been preferred upon models' accuracy. However, the comparison with ENTSO-E data shows that the models provide plausible energy indicators and, in particular, allow comparing climate variability effects on power demand and generation in a harmonized manner all over Europe.

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来源期刊
Meteorological Applications
Meteorological Applications 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
3.70%
发文量
62
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The aim of Meteorological Applications is to serve the needs of applied meteorologists, forecasters and users of meteorological services by publishing papers on all aspects of meteorological science, including: applications of meteorological, climatological, analytical and forecasting data, and their socio-economic benefits; forecasting, warning and service delivery techniques and methods; weather hazards, their analysis and prediction; performance, verification and value of numerical models and forecasting services; practical applications of ocean and climate models; education and training.
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