影响储粮稳定性的因素分析:对农业可持续性和粮食安全的影响

Saifur Rahman Tushar , Md. Fahim Bin Alam , Sadid Md. Zaman , Jose Arturo Garza-Reyes , A.B.M. Mainul Bari , Chitra Lekha Karmaker
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引用次数: 3

摘要

最近前所未有的形势,如新冠肺炎疫情和俄乌战争,严重影响了新兴经济体的粮食安全和粮食生产。这些国家可以尝试进口粮食以加强粮食安全,但这将使其美元储备紧张,并危及其金融稳定。在这种情况下,采取可持续的粮食储存做法对于缩小粮食生产和粮食供应之间的不寻常差距至关重要。因此,这项研究探讨了可能影响储存谷物稳定性的关键因素,以促进新兴经济体的农业可持续性和粮食安全。首先,该研究从新兴经济的角度确定了影响储存谷物稳定性的重要因素。然后,本研究采用了一种综合方法,包括Pareto分析、基于模糊的全解释结构建模(TISM)和应用于分类的交叉影响矩阵乘法(MICMAC)分析。根据文献综述和专家反馈,初步确定了19个因素。在采用Pareto分析后,使用模糊TISM-模糊MICMAC对前十三个因素进行了进一步分析,以检验它们之间的相互关系。研究结果表明,“高级仓储作业的适当培训”是影响粮食可持续仓储作业的最重要因素。这项研究的见解可以帮助从业者更多地关注粮食储存运营的关键方面,并可以帮助新兴经济体的决策者和行业领袖进行战略决策,以实现农业可持续性,从而改善粮食安全。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the factors influencing the stability of stored grains: Implications for agricultural sustainability and food security

The recent unprecedented situations like the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war have severely impacted food security and grain production in emerging economies. These countries can try to import grains to enhance secure food security, but this will strain their dollar reserve and endanger their financial stability. Under such circumstances, the adoption of sustainable grain storage practices is essential to reducing the unusual gap between grain production and grain availability. This research, therefore, explores the key factors that may affect the stability of stored grains to promote agricultural sustainability and food security in emerging economies. First, the study identifies the significant factors that influence the stability of stored grains from an emerging economy perspective. Then, the study employs an integrated approach consisting of Pareto analysis, fuzzy-based Total Interpretive Structural Modeling (TISM), and Cross-Impact Matrix Multiplication Applied to Classification (MICMAC) analysis. Based on the literature review and expert feedback, nineteen factors were initially identified. After employing Pareto analysis, the top thirteen factors have been further analyzed using fuzzy TISM- fuzzy MICMAC to examine their interrelationships. The study findings indicate that “Proper training on advanced storage operations” is the most significant factor influencing sustainable grain storage operations. The study insights can help practitioners to focus more on the crucial aspects of the grain storage operation and can assist the policymakers and industry leaders of emerging economies in strategic decision-making to achieve agricultural sustainability and thus improve food security.

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