工业机器人使用对中国劳动力市场的影响:来自制造业细分的证据

Xinlei Gao;Chunling Luo;Juping Shou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用2006年至2016年制造业13个部门的数据,实证研究了工业机器人的使用对中国劳动力市场的影响。根据研究结果,工业机器人的使用对制造业的劳动力需求有替代效应。具体表现为,工业机器人存量每增加1%,劳动力需求就会下降1.8%。经过内生加工和稳健性检验,这一结论仍然有效。本文还讨论了工业机器人跨行业和性别的影响。结果表明,工业机器人在低技能制造业中的应用比在高技能制造业中的应用具有更明显的替代效应。与女性工人相比,工业机器人的应用更有可能减少对男性工人的需求。此外,本文还指出劳动力成本对替代效应有显著影响。最后,根据研究结果,对我国劳动力市场的就业稳定性提出了相应的政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of industrial robot use on China's labor market: Evidence from manufacturing industry segmentation
This paper empirically investigates the impact of industrial robot use on China's labor market using data from 13 segments of manufacturing industry between 2006 and 2016. According to the findings, the use of industrial robots has a displacement effect on labor demand in manufacturing industry. The specific performance is that for every 1% increase in industrial robot stock, labor demand falls by 1.8%. After endogenous processing and a robustness test, this conclusion remains valid. This paper also discusses the effects of industrial robots across industries and genders. According to the results, industrial robot applications have a more pronounced displacement effect in low-skilled manufacturing than in high-skilled manufacturing. In comparison to female workers, industrial robot applications are more likely to decrease the demand for male workers. Moreover, this paper indicates that the displacement effect is significantly influenced by labor costs. Finally, we make appropriate policy recommendations for the labor market's employment stability based on the findings.
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