贝叶斯分析在构建新冠肺炎大流行期间健康行为的结构方程模型中的性能

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
F. Yanuar, A. Zetra
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引用次数: 1

摘要

新冠肺炎起源于中国武汉,正在全球迅速传播。流行病模型需要为公共卫生政策制定者提供证据,以减少新冠肺炎的传播。人们认为健康行为可以减少这种病毒的传播。本研究旨在构建一个可接受的健康行为模型。为了实现这一目标,实现了贝叶斯结构方程建模(SEM)。本研究还旨在评估贝叶斯SEM的性能,包括估计参数的敏感性、充分性和可接受性,从而获得可接受的模型。通过选择几种类型的先验来评估贝叶斯SEM估计器的灵敏度,并对模型结果进行比较。通过对相应的模型参数进行收敛性检验来检验贝叶斯SEM估计的充分性。Bootstrap模拟研究监测了贝叶斯方法及其相关算法在恢复真实参数方面的可接受性。贝叶斯SEM将吉布斯样本方法应用于估计模型参数。该方法适用于2020年3月至5月新冠肺炎期间对居住在印度尼西亚西苏门答腊岛的个人进行的在线调查收集的主要数据。研究发现,健康动机与健康行为显著相关。而社会人口统计学和感知易感性对健康行为没有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Performance of Bayesian Analysis in Structural Equation Modelling to Construct The Health Behaviour During Pandemic COVID-19
Originating from Wuhan, China, COVID-19 is spreading rapidly throughout the world. The epidemiological model is required to provide evidence for public health policymakers to reduce the spread of COVID-19. Health behaviour is assumed could reduce the spread of this virus.  This study purposes to construct an acceptable model of health behaviour. To achieve this goal, a Bayesian structural equation modelling (SEM) is implemented. This current study is also purposed to evaluate the performance of Bayesian SEM, including the sensitivity, adequacy, and the acceptability of parameters estimated with the result that the acceptable model is obtained. The sensitivity of the Bayesian SEM estimator is evaluated by choosing several types of prior and the model results are compared. The adequacy of the Bayesian SEM estimate is checked by doing the convergence test of the corresponding model parameters. The acceptability of the Bayesian approach and its associated algorithm in recovering the true parameters are monitored by the Bootstrap simulation study. The Bayesian SEM applies the Gibbs sample approach in estimating model parameters. This method is applied to the primary data gathered from an online survey from March to May 2020 during COVID-19 to individuals living in West Sumatera, Indonesia. It is found that health motivation is significantly related to health behaviour. Whereas socio-demographic and perceived susceptibility has no significant effect on health behaviour. 
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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