因素还是网络模型?来自神经网络的预测

Alexander P. Christensen, Hudson F Golino
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引用次数: 5

摘要

变量之间关联的性质对于构建心理现象理论具有重要意义。在过去的十年里,随着心理测量网络模型的引入,这个话题再次引起了人们的兴趣。在心理学中,网络模型经常与潜在变量(如因素)模型进行对比。最近的研究表明,两者之间的差异往往比统计数据更具实质性。最近开发的一种算法称为负荷比较测试(LCT),用于预测数据是由因素还是小世界网络模型生成的。当前LCT实现的一个重要限制是它基于从描述性统计中派生的启发式方法。在本研究中,我们使用人工神经网络来代替这些启发式算法,并开发了一种更稳健、更具推广性的算法。我们进行了蒙特卡洛模拟研究,将神经网络与原始LCT算法以及在相同数据上训练的逻辑回归模型进行了比较。我们发现,在预测数据是由因子、小世界网络还是随机网络模型生成方面,神经网络的表现与这两种方法一样好或更好。尽管神经网络是在小世界网络上训练的,但我们证明它们可以可靠地预测随机网络的数据生成模型,证明了在训练数据之外的可推广性。我们赞同关于变量之间关系的更正式理论的呼吁,并讨论了LCT在这一过程中的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Factor or Network Model? Predictions From Neural Networks
The nature of associations between variables is important for constructing theory about psychological phenomena. In the last decade, this topic has received renewed interest with the introduction of psychometric network models. In psychology, network models are often contrasted with latent variable (e.g., factor) models. Recent research has shown that differences between the two tend to be more substantive than statistical. One recently developed algorithm called the Loadings Comparison Test (LCT) was developed to predict whether data were generated from a factor or small-world network model. A significant limitation of the current LCT implementation is that it's based on heuristics that were derived from descriptive statistics. In the present study, we used artificial neural networks to replace these heuristics and develop a more robust and generalizable algorithm. We performed a Monte Carlo simulation study that compared neural networks to the original LCT algorithm as well as logistic regression models that were trained on the same data. We found that the neural networks performed as well as or better than both methods for predicting whether data were generated from a factor, small-world network, or random network model. Although the neural networks were trained on small-world networks, we show that they can reliably predict the data-generating model of random networks, demonstrating generalizability beyond the trained data. We echo the call for more formal theories about the relations between variables and discuss the role of the LCT in this process.
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