中国北京地区的暴雨和高温灾害风险评估

IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Chen Cheng, Xiaoyi Fang, Mingcai Li, Yuanhui Yang, Ya Gao, Shuo Zhang, Ying Yu, Yonghong Liu, Wupeng Du
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引用次数: 1

摘要

掌握气候变化条件下的气象灾害风险,因地制宜地进行风险适应规划,对国土空间规划具有重要意义。以中国大城市北京为例,建立了基于危险因素、承灾体暴露和下垫面脆弱性的气象灾害风险评估模型。与11结合 通过293个高密度气象站多年的观测数据,研究了城市、农业和生态空间的暴雨和高温风险。结果表明:(1)暴雨和高温主要分布在平原城镇建成区,是需要考虑的气候风险因素。(2) 北京中心城市处于暴雨和高温的高风险地区,表明下垫面和承灾体极易受到气象灾害的影响。(3) 在有农用地的郊区,房山和大兴区有一定的暴雨风险,通州和大兴南部有高温风险。(4) 生态空间(生态区)高温风险相对较低,但平谷和密云的暴雨风险相对较高。(5) 讨论了北京市国土空间规划中暴雨和高温灾害风险的应对策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Rainstorm and high-temperature disaster risk assessment of territorial space in Beijing, China

Rainstorm and high-temperature disaster risk assessment of territorial space in Beijing, China

It is important for territorial spatial planning to master meteorological disaster risk under the conditions of climate change and then carry out risk adaptation planning according to local conditions. Taking Beijing, a large city in China, as an example, a meteorological disaster risk assessment model was established based on the framework of hazard factors, disaster-bearing body exposure, and vulnerability of underlying surface. Combined with 11 years of observation data from 293 high-density weather stations, the rainstorm and high-temperature risks of urban, agriculture, and ecological spaces were studied. The results show that (1) rainstorms and high-temperature are mainly distributed in the built-up areas of plain towns, which are the climate risk factors that need to be considered. (2) The central city of Beijing is at a high risk of rainstorms and high temperature, indicating that the underlying surface and disaster-bearing body are highly vulnerable to meteorological disasters. (3) In suburbs with agricultural land, there is a certain rainstorm risk in Fangshan and Daxing districts, and a risk of high temperatures in the southern part of Tongzhou and Daxing. (4) The risk of high temperatures in the ecological space (eco-zone) is relatively low, but the rainstorm risk is relatively high in Pinggu and Miyun. (5) The strategies of coping with rainstorm and high-temperature disaster risk in Beijing's territorial space planning were discussed.

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来源期刊
Meteorological Applications
Meteorological Applications 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
3.70%
发文量
62
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The aim of Meteorological Applications is to serve the needs of applied meteorologists, forecasters and users of meteorological services by publishing papers on all aspects of meteorological science, including: applications of meteorological, climatological, analytical and forecasting data, and their socio-economic benefits; forecasting, warning and service delivery techniques and methods; weather hazards, their analysis and prediction; performance, verification and value of numerical models and forecasting services; practical applications of ocean and climate models; education and training.
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