Giovanni Farese, Paolo Guerrieri, Pierre Carlo Padoan
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European monetary regimes after the fall of Bretton Woods: a political economy approach
After the fall of the Bretton Woods system, the EU initiated an original path towards monetary integration which led to the establishment of the European monetary system (EMS) in the 1980s and the economic monetary union (EMU) in the 1990s. This path was an alternative to the floating exchange rate regime which many other countries decided to follow. Adopting a political economy approach, in this paper we reconstruct the main phases of this process, from the 1970s up until today, arguing that they cannot be explained only in terms of costs and benefits of alternative exchange rate configuration, but should consider political as well as economic factors—both domestic and international ones—and the interaction between European monetary and real integration. Ultimately, the predominance of political factors led to an underestimation of the economic difficulties generated by the coexistence of irrevocable exchange rates and full capital mobility. We suggest that new policy instruments and institutional changes are needed to make the common currency workable in the long run. The mandatory path should be towards a more deeply integrated Europe. Such integration is essential to enable the European monetary union to confront with future challenges.
期刊介绍:
The Oxford Review of Economic Policy is a refereed journal which is published quarterly. Each issue concentrates on a current theme in economic policy, with a balance between macro- and microeconomics, and comprises an assessment and a number of articles. It gives a valuable appraisal of economic policies worldwide. While the analysis is challenging and at the forefront of current thinking, articles are presented in non-technical language to make them readily accessible to all readers. The Oxford Review is aimed at a wide audience including government, business and policy-makers, as well as academics and students. It is required reading for those who need to know where research is leading.