用局部粒子滤波器证明同化FY-4A可见辐射对云和降水预报的潜在影响

IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Yongbo Zhou, Yubao Liu, Wei Han
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风云四号A(FY-4A)卫星上的高级地球静止辐射成像仪(AGRI)提供了包含云和降水关键信息的可见辐射。在本研究中,通过使用局部粒子滤波器(PF)的观测系统模拟实验(OSSE),评估了同化FY-4A/AGRI全天可见辐射对对流系统模拟的影响。本地化的PF被实施到数据同化研究试验台(DART)和天气研究与预测(WRF)模型中。为期两天的数据同化(DA)实验结果在天气尺度上产生了令人鼓舞的结果。利用局部PF同化FY-4A/AGRI可见辐射显著改善了云水路径(CWP)、云量、降雨率和降雨面积的分析和预测。此外,对多云地区附近的温度和水蒸气混合比也产生了一些积极影响。敏感性研究表明,通过配置与模型网格间距(20km)相等的定位距离和足够短的循环间隔(30min)的定位PF,可以获得最佳结果。然而,由于缺乏可见光辐射的相关信息,局部PF无法改善云的垂直结构和云相。此外,将局部PF与系综调整卡尔曼滤波器(EAKF)进行了比较,结果表明,即使系综成员的数量为EAKF的两倍,局部PF也优于EAKF,这表明局部PF在吸收可见辐射方面具有很大的潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Demonstrating the Potential Impacts of Assimilating FY-4A Visible Radiances on Forecasts of Cloud and Precipitation with a Localized Particle Filter
The Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (AGRI) on board the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) satellite provides visible radiances that contain critical information on clouds and precipitation. In this study, the impact of assimilating FY-4A/AGRI all-sky visible radiances on the simulation of a convective system was evaluated with an observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) using a localized particle filter (PF). The localized PF was implemented into the Data Assimilation Research Testbed (DART) coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. The results of a 2-day data assimilation (DA) experiment generated encouraging outcome at a synoptic scale. Assimilating FY-4A/AGRI visible radiances with the localized PF significantly improved the analysis and forecast of cloud water path (CWP), cloud coverage, rain rate, and rainfall areas. In addition, some positive impacts were produced on the temperature and water vapor mixing ratio in the vicinity of cloudy regions. Sensitivity studies indicated that the best results were achieved by the localized PF configured with a localization distance that is equivalent to the model grid spacing (20 km) and with an adequately short cycling interval (30 min). However, the localized PF could not improve cloud vertical structures and cloud phases due to a lack of related information in the visible radiances. Moreover, the localized PF was compared with the ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF) and it was indicated that the localized PF outperformed EAKF even when the number of ensemble members was doubled for the latter, indicating a great potential of the localized PF in assimilating visible radiances.
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来源期刊
Monthly Weather Review
Monthly Weather Review 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
12.50%
发文量
186
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Monthly Weather Review (MWR) (ISSN: 0027-0644; eISSN: 1520-0493) publishes research relevant to the analysis and prediction of observed atmospheric circulations and physics, including technique development, data assimilation, model validation, and relevant case studies. This research includes numerical and data assimilation techniques that apply to the atmosphere and/or ocean environments. MWR also addresses phenomena having seasonal and subseasonal time scales.
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