{"title":"需求侧响应下的电力负荷预测与用户利益最大化研究","authors":"Wenna Zhao, Guoxing Mu, Yanfang Zhu, Limei Xu, Deliang Zhang, Hongwei Huang","doi":"10.4018/ijsir.317112","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, the real-time changes of demand-side response factors are accurately considered. First, CNN is combined with BiLSTM network to extract the spatio-temporal features of load data; then an attention mechanism is introduced to automatically assign the corresponding weights to the hidden layer states of BiLSTM. In the optimization part of the network parameters, the PSO algorithm is combined to obtain better model parameters. Then, considering the average reduction rate of various users under energy efficiency resources and the average load rate under load resources on the original forecast load and the original forecast load, the original load is superimposed with the response load considering demand-side resources to achieve accurate load forecast. Finally, “price-based” time-of-use tariff and “incentive-based” emergency demand response are selected to build a load response model based on the principle of maximizing customer benefits. The results show that demand-side response can reduce the frequency and magnitude of price fluctuations in the wholesale market.","PeriodicalId":44265,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Swarm Intelligence Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2023-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Research on Electric Load Forecasting and User Benefit Maximization Under Demand-Side Response\",\"authors\":\"Wenna Zhao, Guoxing Mu, Yanfang Zhu, Limei Xu, Deliang Zhang, Hongwei Huang\",\"doi\":\"10.4018/ijsir.317112\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In this paper, the real-time changes of demand-side response factors are accurately considered. First, CNN is combined with BiLSTM network to extract the spatio-temporal features of load data; then an attention mechanism is introduced to automatically assign the corresponding weights to the hidden layer states of BiLSTM. In the optimization part of the network parameters, the PSO algorithm is combined to obtain better model parameters. Then, considering the average reduction rate of various users under energy efficiency resources and the average load rate under load resources on the original forecast load and the original forecast load, the original load is superimposed with the response load considering demand-side resources to achieve accurate load forecast. Finally, “price-based” time-of-use tariff and “incentive-based” emergency demand response are selected to build a load response model based on the principle of maximizing customer benefits. The results show that demand-side response can reduce the frequency and magnitude of price fluctuations in the wholesale market.\",\"PeriodicalId\":44265,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Swarm Intelligence Research\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-02-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Swarm Intelligence Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4018/ijsir.317112\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Swarm Intelligence Research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4018/ijsir.317112","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Research on Electric Load Forecasting and User Benefit Maximization Under Demand-Side Response
In this paper, the real-time changes of demand-side response factors are accurately considered. First, CNN is combined with BiLSTM network to extract the spatio-temporal features of load data; then an attention mechanism is introduced to automatically assign the corresponding weights to the hidden layer states of BiLSTM. In the optimization part of the network parameters, the PSO algorithm is combined to obtain better model parameters. Then, considering the average reduction rate of various users under energy efficiency resources and the average load rate under load resources on the original forecast load and the original forecast load, the original load is superimposed with the response load considering demand-side resources to achieve accurate load forecast. Finally, “price-based” time-of-use tariff and “incentive-based” emergency demand response are selected to build a load response model based on the principle of maximizing customer benefits. The results show that demand-side response can reduce the frequency and magnitude of price fluctuations in the wholesale market.
期刊介绍:
The mission of the International Journal of Swarm Intelligence Research (IJSIR) is to become a leading international and well-referred journal in swarm intelligence, nature-inspired optimization algorithms, and their applications. This journal publishes original and previously unpublished articles including research papers, survey papers, and application papers, to serve as a platform for facilitating and enhancing the information shared among researchers in swarm intelligence research areas ranging from algorithm developments to real-world applications.