多机场区域的机场选择模型

C. Muñoz, J. Córdoba, I. Sarmiento
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引用次数: 12

摘要

目的:本研究旨在分析多机场地区航空运输用户的出行选择,因为这是规划乘客再分配政策的关键组成部分。本研究的目的是找到一个效用函数,该函数可以了解影响用户在前往哥伦比亚主要城市的航线上选择机场的变量。设计/方法/方法:本研究生成了一个基于效用最大化理论的多项式Logit模型(MNL),该模型基于对居住在Aburra Valley(哥伦比亚)大都市地区的用户进行的公开和声明偏好调查所获得的数据。该地区是哥伦比亚境内唯一一个有两个相邻机场供国内航班使用的地区。建模过程中包括的机场有Enrique Olaya Herrera(EOH)机场和Jose Maria Cordova(JMC)机场。测试了几个结构模型,MNL被证明是最显著的,揭示了影响乘客机场选择的常见变量,包括机票、前往机场的价格和到达机场的时间。调查结果和独创性/价值:经过校准的机场选择模型对应于一个有效的强大工具,用于计算每个分析的机场被哥伦比亚境内国内航班选择的概率。这是在考虑到效用函数中包含的每个属性的特定特性的情况下完成的。此外,这些概率将用于计算本研究中考虑的两个机场的未来市场份额,这将为机场和航空公司营销政策生成支持工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Airport choice model in multiple airport regions
Purpose: This study aims to analyze travel choices made by air transportation users in multi airport regions because it is a crucial component when planning passenger redistribution policies. The purpose of this study is to find a utility function which makes it possible to know the variables that influence users’ choice of the airports on routes to the main cities in the Colombian territory. Design/methodology/approach: This research generates a Multinomial Logit Model (MNL), which is based on the theory of maximizing utility, and it is based on the data obtained on revealed and stated preference surveys applied to users who reside in the metropolitan area of Aburra Valley (Colombia). This zone is the only one in the Colombian territory which has two neighboring airports for domestic flights. The airports included in the modeling process were Enrique Olaya Herrera (EOH) Airport and Jose Maria Cordova (JMC) Airport. Several structure models were tested, and the MNL proved to be the most significant revealing the common variables that affect passenger airport choice include the airfare, the price to travel the airport, and the time to get to the airport. Findings and Originality/value: The airport choice model which was calibrated corresponds to a valid powerful tool used to calculate the probability of each analyzed airport of being chosen for domestic flights in the Colombian territory. This is done bearing in mind specific characteristic of each of the attributes contained in the utility function. In addition, these probabilities will be used to calculate future market shares of the two airports considered in this study, and this will be done generating a support tool for airport and airline marketing policies.
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