西班牙警方对亲密伴侣杀人风险的评估：双重协议VPR5.0-H

IF 3.6 1区心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Psychosocial Intervention Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI:10.5093/pi2020a16

J. J. López-Ossorio, J. L. González-Álvarez, Ismael Loinaz, A. Martínez-Martínez, David Pineda

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引用次数: 3

摘要

西班牙警方每天都广泛使用亲密伴侣暴力（IPV）风险评估。预测程序的改进鼓励了通过调整特定目标，如致命结果或儿童的潜在受害，来进一步完善IPV预测因素。本文描述了VPR5.0工具（VioGen系统警察风险评估）的演变，该工具是一种旨在提高亲密伴侣凶杀案（IPH）可预测性的算法。使用了2159份记录样本，其中159份是IPH受害者。将样本分为两组可比较的病例（IPH）和对照组（N-IPH），以验证结果。结果表明，35个危险因素中有13个与IPH显著相关，其影响大小不同于一般的N-IPH（OR值在1.507至8.087之间）。二元逻辑回归显示，6个显著因素正确分类了86.3%的IPH。新的H量表性能参数与具有相同目标的研究中获得的参数相当（敏感性84%，特异性60%，OR=8.130，AUC=0.80，PPV=0.19和NPV=0.97）。

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Intimate partner homicide risk assessment by police in Spain: the dual protocol VPR5.0-H

Spanish police makes an extensive use of intimate partner violence (IPV) risk assessment on a daily basis. Improved prediction procedures have encouraged the search for greater refinement of IPV predictors by adjusting to specific targets, such as lethal outcomes or potential victimization of children. This paper describes the evolution of the VPR5.0 tool (VioGen System Police Risk Assessment) as an algorithm aimed at improving predictability of intimate partner homicides (IPH). A sample of 2,159 records was used, 159 of whom were IPH victims. The sample was divided into two comparable groups of cases (IPH) and controls (N-IPH) to validate the results. The results showed that 13 out of 35 risk factors were significantly related to IPH with an effect size different to that of general N-IPH (with OR values ranging between 1.507 and 8.087). Binary logistic regression showed six significant factors that correctly classified 86.3% of the IPH. The new H-Scale performance parameters were comparable to those obtained in studies with the same objective (sensitivity 84%, specificity 60%, OR = 8.130, AUC = .80, PPV = .19 and NPV = .97).

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来源期刊

Psychosocial Intervention PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-

CiteScore

8.00

自引率

8.30%

发文量

审稿时长

14 weeks

期刊介绍： Psychosocial Intervention is a peer-reviewed journal that publishes papers in all areas relevant to psychosocial intervention at the individual, family, social networks, organization, community, and population levels. The Journal emphasizes an evidence-based perspective and welcomes papers reporting original basic and applied research, program evaluation, and intervention results. The journal will also feature integrative reviews, and specialized papers on theoretical advances and methodological issues. Psychosocial Intervention is committed to advance knowledge, and to provide scientific evidence informing psychosocial interventions tackling social and community problems, and promoting social welfare and quality of life. Psychosocial Intervention welcomes contributions from all areas of psychology and allied disciplines, such as sociology, social work, social epidemiology, and public health. Psychosocial Intervention aims to be international in scope, and will publish papers both in Spanish and English.