加纳货币市场、资本市场与经济增长之间的动态联系:新的经验教训

I. Ogbuji, E. Mesagan, Y. Alimi
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引用次数: 12

摘要

摘要本研究使用动态自回归分布滞后(ARDL)框架对1991年至2017年期间货币和资本市场对加纳经济的影响进行了比较分析。实证结果证实了货币市场、资本市场和经济增长之间存在着独特而稳定的长期关系。在货币市场指标方面,研究结果证实,货币政策和国债利率分别对短期和长期经济增长产生了负面但显著的影响。更重要的是,从短期和长期来看,总流动性对加纳经济产生了负面和重大影响。作为资本市场的代表,市值和股票交易总价值对短期增长都有积极和显著的影响,而这两个指标以及股市成交量对长期增长都有消极和不显著的影响。这意味着资本市场对国家经济产生短期影响,而货币市场同时产生短期和长期影响。重新吸取的教训是,货币市场比资本市场更好地推动加纳经济。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Dynamic Linkage between Money Market, Capital Market and Economic Growth in Ghana: New Lessons Relearned
Abstract This study is a comparative analysis of the effects of money and capital markets on the Ghanaian economy covering the period from 1991 to 2017 using the dynamic Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) framework. Empirical results confirmed the existence of a unique and stable long-run relationship between the money market, capital market and economic growth. In respect of money market indicators, findings confirmed that monetary policy and treasury bills rate have had negative but significant impact on growth in the short- and long-run respectively. More so, total liquidity negatively and significantly influenced the Ghana-ian economy both in the short- and in the long run. Both market capitalisation and total value of stock traded, as proxies of capital market, had positive and significant effects on short-run growth, while both indicators as well as stock market turnover negatively and insignificantly affected long-run growth. This means that capital market exerts a short-run impact on the country’s economy, while money market exerts both short- and long-run impacts. The lesson relearned is that the money market propels the Ghanaian economy better than the capital market.
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