基于气象因素的雅加达DKI大气质量指数LSTM CO和PM10预测模型

Emanuella M C Wattimena, Annisa Annisa, I. S. Sitanggang
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的:本研究旨在使用长短期记忆(LSTM)建立雅加达DKI的CO和PM10预测模型,包括风速、太阳辐射、空气湿度和气温等气象变量,以了解这些变量对模型的影响程度。方法:本研究中选择的方法是LSTM递归神经网络,它是预测时间序列表现更好的最佳算法之一。本研究中的LSTM模型用于比较使用气象因素和不使用气象因素建模之间的性能。结果:CO预测模型中气象预测因子的使用对模型的使用没有影响,但气象预测因子对PM10预测模型的使用有影响。与不使用气象预测因子的模型相比,使用气象预测函数的预测模型产生更小的RMSE和更强的相关系数。新颖性:在本文中,对CO和PM10的预测模型进行了两种情景的比较,即有气象因素的建模和无气象因素的模型。经过对比分析,发现DKI雅加达5个空气质量监测站的气象变量对CO指数没有影响。可以说,CO污染物的水平往往受到气象因素以外的因素的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CO and PM10 Prediction Model based on Air Quality Index Considering Meteorological Factors in DKI Jakarta using LSTM
Purpose: This study aimed to make CO and PM10 prediction models in DKI Jakarta using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with and without meteorological variables, consisting of wind speed, solar radiation, air humidity, and air temperature to see how far these variables affect the model.Methods: The method chosen in this study is LSTM recurrent neural network as one of the best algorithms that perform better in predicting time series. The LSTM models in this study were used to compare the performance between modeling using meteorological factors and without meteorological factors.Result: The results show that the use of meteorological predictors in the CO prediction model has no effect on the model used, but the use of meteorological predictors influences the PM10 prediction model. The prediction model with meteorological predictors produces a smaller RMSE and stronger correlation coefficient than modeling without using meteorological predictors.Novelty: In this paper, a comparison between the prediction model of CO and PM10 has been conducted with two scenarios, modeling with meteorological factors and modeling without meteorological factors. After the comparative analysis was done, it was found that the meteorological variables do not affect the CO index in 5 air quality monitoring stations in DKI Jakarta. It can be said that the level of CO pollutants tends to be influenced by factors other than meteorological factors.  
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